Drawn in the best trap at A6 Mullingar — trap 2 wins a dominant 20.2% of the time — and backs it up with the best speed rating in the field at 61. The best time of 29.41 is the quickest on the card for this race, nearly half a second faster than most of these have run recently. Recent form has been disappointing at A4-A5 level — P49, P60, P40, P50 — but much of that came against significantly stronger opposition, and he was slow away or blocked in several of those. Drops to A6 where the pace will be less punishing. Further back in his career, he has peaks of 84, 77, and 68 that show genuine A3-A4 ability. The combination of best draw and best speed gives him the structural edge in an A6 where prediction is tricky.