The standout runner in the race on raw ability. His composite of 59 is 23 points clear of the nearest rival, and his average performance of 84 would be competitive in graded company. The closer profile is textbook for marathon racing — he'll sit off the two faders as they set the pace, conserve energy through the middle stages, and pick them off in the closing 100 metres. His speed of 50 is mid-range but over 661 metres speed is less important than stamina and class, both of which he has in abundance. The trap four draw is neutral and gives him a comfortable path to the first bend. A strong selection because the composite advantage is overwhelming, the race dynamics favour his running style, and the closing profile is exactly what you want over this trip.