| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Drumdoit Rosieb 2y 19 | L J Stephenson — 20% R250 W50 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 29 (3) | 31 (2) | 32 (2) | 29 (2) | 32 (2) | 31 (2) | 17 (6) | 29 (4) | 40 (1) | - | 45 | 40 | 41 | 41 | 30 | 34 | 4 | 8/13F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Savana Heklab 3y 18 | D Henry — 23% R104 W24 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 23 | - | 27 (2) | 25 (3) | 60 (5) | 63 (5) | 55 (3) | 60 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 60 | 23 | 5 | 25/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Olwinn Winb 1y 7 | J Sharp — 23% R87 W20 P48 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 30 (4) | 32 (2) | 29 (2) | 25 (5) | 31 (2) | 29 (2) | 31 (1) | 25 (4) | - | - | 25 | 40 | 31 | 39 | 28 | 31 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Fiery Pad 4y 35 | S C Oxley — 18% R143 W26 P88 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 29 (2) | 30 (3) | 30 (3) | 27 (3) | 28 (3) | 27 (4) | 37 (2) | 30 (3) | 36 (1) | 25 (5) | 39 | 26 | 26 | 21 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mid Tipp Sarahb 1y 4 | L A Taylorson — 16% R243 W40 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 25 (5) | 31 (4) | 37 (1) | 29 (2) | 26 (4) | 28 (4) | 32 (1) | 19 (6) | 28 (3) | 25 (3) | 19 | 21 | - | 19 | 27 | 26 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Drumdoit Mainood 2yN/R 15 | D L Cross — 20% R124 W25 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 32 (3) | 37 (1) | 24 (5) | 32 (1) | 31 (1) | 25 (3) | 25 (3) | 21 (5) | 24 (4) | - | 33 | 23 | 10 | 36 | 27 | 29 | - | - | - | |
Olwinn Win occupies the structurally dominant trap at D3 Sheffield two-eighty metres, where trap three wins twenty-seven point four seven percent of races over a sample of more than eleven hundred. The form at D3 is very consistent — P29, P25, P31, P29, P31, P25 in order from most recent to oldest — reflecting a reliable runner without dramatic variation, competing around the upper-mid range for this grade. Two recent trial wins of sixteen point six zero and sixteen point seven seven confirm current fitness and race readiness. The consistent D3 form combined with structural trap advantage and trial clearance make this the most predictable winning option in an unusual field. The rating is Tentative rather than higher because Savana Hekla's potential, however uncertain, introduces genuine outcome uncertainty that cannot be quantified from a sixteen-month absence.
The race's wild card — OR1 form at double the field's level, but sixteen-month absence and grade sphere-drop to D3 make outcome projection very difficult. If fit and settled, she wins by a distance; if rustiness persists, she may not threaten.
Grade step-up from D4 winner, but T6 structural disadvantage at D3 Sheffield 280m is a significant obstacle to converting the win into this stiffer grade.
Consistent P29-32 performer at this exact grade and distance — likely to place but not to win without a significant step up in performance.
Consistent mid-twenties to thirty performer at D3 — form does not suggest a winning run is imminent from this predictable level.
Modest D3 form at the lower end of the competitive range — unlikely to threaten for the win from this level.
T3 twenty-seven point four seven percent win rate from eleven hundred D3 Sheffield two-eighty metre races is the primary structural signal. The returning OR1 runner at T2 creates significant form uncertainty that structural analysis cannot fully resolve.
T3:27.47% T6:12.50% — T3 dominant, T6 worst trap at D3 Sheffield 280m
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 280m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (280m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 280m | 450m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drumdoit Rosie | 0.595 | — | — |
| 2 | Savana Hekla | 0.596 | 0.624 | 0.608 |
| 3 | Olwinn Win | 0.595 | — | — |
| 4 | Fiery Pa | 0.594 | — | — |
| 5 | Mid Tipp Sarah | 0.596 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.