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Thursday
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ardevan Dickied 2y 8 | L J Stephenson — 21% R248 W51 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 80 | 56 (3) | 34 (4) | 52 (5) | 74 (4) | 60 (2) | 67 (3) | 74 (2) | 56 (1) | 36 (2) | - | 34 | 38 | 15 | 25 | 55 | 42 | 1 | 9/2 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Innfield Jotad 3y 17 | L J Stephenson — 21% R248 W51 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | 41 | - | 30 (4) | 27 (5) | 42 (1) | 29 (4) | 41 (1) | 28 (5) | 24 (5) | 40 (1) | 34 (4) | 33 (3) | 28 | 27 | 3 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 6 | 16/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Drumdoit Evab 2y 8 | J Andrews — 19% R238 W45 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 53 | 100 (1) | 41 (2) | 24 (6) | 46 (1) | 84 (3) | 50 (5) | 67 (1) | 39 (5) | 42 (1) | 37 (5) | 35 | 38 | 28 | 49 | 47 | 40 | 2 | 15/8F | ||
| 4 | ▶ Memories Paybackb 3y 5 | L J Stephenson — 21% R248 W51 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | - | 28 (5) | 45 (1) | 31 (4) | 31 (2) | 30 (4) | 46 (1) | 42 (1) | 30 (4) | 36 (3) | 32 (3) | 45 | 43 | 26 | 46 | 36 | 36 | 4 | 3/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Tromora Milod 2y 6 | E T Parker — 19% R199 W38 P113 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 43 | 36 (4) | 35 (3) | 41 (1) | 29 (4) | 41 (1) | 35 (3) | 48 (4) | 47 (4) | 53 (3) | 67 (1) | 36 | 42 | 19 | 34 | 42 | 33 | 3 | 7/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Russanda Zarab 2y 6 | E T Parker — 19% R199 W38 P113 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | - | 32 (3) | 45 (1) | 45 (1) | 31 (5) | 42 (1) | 37 (2) | 33 (3) | 37 (2) | 37 (2) | 37 (2) | 43 | 42 | 32 | 56 | 39 | 39 | 5 | 9/4 | ||
Memories Payback won her most recent race at D1 two-eighty metres just six days ago, returning a performance reading of forty-five — the best single-run number in her recent form book at this grade. Trap four carries a twenty-two point five percent win rate at D1 Sheffield two-eighty metres, the highest of any starting position in this field, and the structural case for her is clear. The form history of P45 win, then P31, P31, P30, P46, P42 in order from most recent shows a dog that has found a performance level around the low-to-mid forties at D1 grade, with the win last time confirming competitive currency at this standard. The candid caveat is that her average and composite ratings are below those of Ardevan Dickie and Drumdoit Eva — this is a structural pick, not a best-on-form selection. The best trap in the field combined with a recent race win at this exact grade and distance makes her the Tentative call.
The danger — highest raw ratings in the field and maximum early pace, but trap one's catastrophic win rate at D1 Sheffield makes him very difficult to select despite clear ability superiority.
High-ceiling runner with recent form volatility — P84 peak is a real number but the post-peak trajectory is not encouraging for today.
Uncertain entry status due to data duplication; if running, competitive form offset by T6 structural disadvantage.
Pace profile not suited to sprint distance; form does not suggest a winning run at this grade today.
Lowest speed in the field and inconsistent low-twenties form — not a viable selection today.
T1 seven point six nine percent at D1 Sheffield two-eighty metres is the key structural elimination — despite Ardevan Dickie's superior raw ratings, trap one's catastrophically low win rate over a substantial sample makes the structural case against him overwhelming.
T4:22.50% T1:7.69% — T4 is the strongest structural draw, T1 the weakest at D1 Sheffield 280m
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.