The Y.T.S.C Lotto 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Caireal Goldb 1y 4 | - | - | 39 | - | 49 (5) | 69 (1) | 44 (3) | 60 (2) | 46 (5) | 40 (5) | 43 (5) | 49 (2) | 67 (1) | 39 (4) | - | 32 | 21 | 31 | 52 | 42 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Only Janeb 4y 33 | - | - | 50 | - | 62 (2) | 51 (3) | 58 (5) | 62 (3) | 77 (3) | 50 (5) | 69 (5) | 43 (4) | 35 (6) | 43 (4) | 17 | 19 | 17 | 11 | 58 | 42 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Canvas Ellieb 3y 6 | - | - | 56 | - | 65 (2) | 57 (2) | 60 (2) | 60 (3) | 53 (4) | 38 (6) | 60 (3) | 61 (3) | 68 (2) | 60 (5) | 28 | 19 | 4 | 34 | 58 | 49 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hollyhill Siennab 1y 35 | - | - | 54 | - | 57 (3) | 54 (4) | 47 (5) | 70 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 32 | 23 | 10 | 14 | 56 | 37 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Rovers Rodgerd 1y 16 | - | - | 37 | - | 59 (3) | 49 (3) | 42 (5) | 67 (2) | 54 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 36 | 6 | 13/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Shlowdown Kingd 4y 26 | Bernadette Connolly — 12% R34 W4 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 56 (3) | 51 (5) | 63 (3) | 54 (6) | 69 (6) | 81 (4) | 49 (1) | 69 (6) | 79 (2) | - | 68 | 33 | 12 | 17 | 61 | 55 | 1 | 15/8F | - | |
Has been running at A4 grade — two full levels above today's A6 company — and while the recent form at that higher level has been mixed (fifth places at A4), the earlier record includes a performance of 81 at A4 level and consistent runs in the 50s-80s range that demonstrate genuine class above today's standard. The fastest speed rating in the field at 61 and the fastest best time at 29.33 seconds are hard to argue with. This is a dog who should have a significant physical advantage in terms of raw pace if producing anything like best form. The draw in trap 6 is a structural negative — it produces winners only 15.7% of the time at A6 — but the class edge from competing at a much higher grade should outweigh the draw disadvantage. The one condition: must not drift back to A4 form on the day.
DANGER: Consistent A7 form with three recent second places, second-fastest speed rating and time. Trap 3 is not ideal at A6 but the trajectory is encouraging. Main threat to the pick.
Won at A7 recently but form at A6 has been unconvincing. Good trap draw but needs a step forward in class.
Consistent placer but drawn in the worst structural trap at A6. Very hard to support regardless of form.
Best structural trap draw but very limited form record. Could emerge from the best box with running room but hard to assess on available evidence.
Slowest time in the field and weakest structural draw outside. Very hard to make a case for this runner today.
Trap 4 best at 17.9% and trap 2 worst at 9.2% at Youghal A6 525m. Speed rank 2 (20.1%) outperforms speed rank 1 (17.6%) — unusual pattern. Composite rank 1 at 19.5% is the most reliable composite metric at this grade.
T1:16.2% T2:9.2% T3:12.1% T4:17.9% T5:10.7% T6:15.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caireal Gold | — | 0.577 |
| 2 | Only Jane | 0.562 | 0.574 |
| 3 | Canvas Ellie | — | 0.570 |
| 4 | Hollyhill Sienna | — | 0.571 |
| 5 | Rovers Rodger | 0.572 | 0.577 |
| 6 | Shlowdown King | — | 0.566 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.