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The Lucky Last 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Deacus Glend 2y 27 | - | - | 47 | - | 78 (1) | 62 (2) | 58 (3) | 60 (4) | 76 (1) | 57 (2) | 58 (4) | 48 (4) | 76 (1) | 68 (2) | 13 | 34 | - | 50 | 65 | 45 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Dower Maddieb 1y 5 | John Hickey — 17% R18 W3 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 67 (3) | 56 (6) | 48 (6) | 45 (6) | 45 (6) | 66 (1) | 58 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 56 | 43 | 3 | 11/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Watch Out Hollyb 3y 18 | Mark Drinan — 33% R9 W3 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 83 (1) | 59 (4) | 59 (4) | 79 (1) | 64 (3) | 66 (4) | 71 (2) | 85 (1) | 85 (1) | 64 (4) | 50 | 15 | - | 44 | 71 | 53 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Canvas Hollyb 2y 15 | - | - | 30 | - | 73 (3) | 72 (1) | 59 (2) | 46 (5) | 47 (4) | 39 (6) | 44 (4) | 46 (3) | 55 (2) | - | 17 | 23 | - | 28 | 57 | 35 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Slaneyside Pedrod 2y 110 | Derek Kehoe — 17% R52 W9 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 87 (1) | 81 (1) | 58 (4) | 54 (6) | 64 (3) | 81 (1) | 52 (5) | 52 (6) | 71 (2) | 80 (1) | 23 | 34 | 10 | 43 | 70 | 53 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Beanos Rodged 3y 33 | Peter Mannix — 0% R1 W0 P0 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 66 (4) | 58 (6) | 61 (3) | 86 (1) | 60 (4) | 64 (5) | 87 (1) | 67 (2) | 70 (3) | 71 (3) | 29 | 10 | 36 | 24 | 68 | 39 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
The form leader of this race and the pick, with outstanding recent performances that put the rest of the field in the shade. Won last time out at A4 with a performance of 87 — the highest single-race figure in today's race by a clear margin. Two runs back also won at A5 (81), and earlier form includes another A5 win (81). Three wins from the last six runs at A4 and A5 level, with peak performances above 80, represents form that is comfortably the best in this A3 field. Average of 70 is among the highest in the race. The speed rating of 53 is the highest in the field, which matters enormously at Youghal A3 where speed rank 1 converts 43% of the time from 65 runs. The structural draw in trap 5 is below the best (12.8% at A3), but when the form edge is this substantial and speed rank 1 at this grade has such a remarkable conversion rate, the outside draw is the price you pay for a top-quality selection.
DANGER: Highest average performance in the race, second-best structural draw, trainer 25%, and won at A5 last time with a big 83-rated performance. The step to A3 is the only question. Strong threat to the pick.
Good lower-grade form with two wins at A6 but the step up to A3 is a significant test. Average performance of 65 is below the A3 field leaders. Draw is moderate.
Fastest best time but worst structural trap and recent poor form at A2. One better A3 run last time out but hard to trust given the draw and recent record.
Best structural trap but the slowest speed in the field and jumping several grade levels. The draw helps but the pace deficit makes a win very difficult to envisage.
Genuine A3 experience and has won at this level, but current form is below peak and the outside draw is an obstacle. Competitive for place money.
Speed rank 1 wins 43.1% from 65 runs at Youghal A3 525m — the strongest speed signal on the entire card. Trap 4 best structural draw at 21.3%. Trap 2 worst at 11.5%. Composite rank 1 at only 20% is less reliable than speed rank here.
T1:14.1% T2:11.5% T3:17.3% T4:21.3% T5:12.8% T6:12.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 330m | 525m | 550m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deacus Glen | — | 0.568 | — | — |
| 2 | Dower Maddie | 0.548 | 0.565 | — | — |
| 3 | Watch Out Holly | — | 0.564 | — | — |
| 4 | Canvas Holly | — | 0.574 | — | — |
| 5 | Slaneyside Pedro | — | 0.564 | — | — |
| 6 | Beanos Rodge | — | 0.561 | 0.553 | 0.555 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.