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DOREEN WALSH MEMORIAL TROPHY
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Punk Rock Thiefd 4yREP 14 | S Maplesden — 18% R272 W48 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 51 | 53 (2) | 44 (4) | 45 (5) | 46 (4) | 53 (2) | 61 (1) | 48 (2) | 51 (2) | 57 (3) | - | 37 | 31 | 33 | 40 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Believe You Canb 2yREP 13 | D D Knight — 19% R230 W43 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 35 | 52 (1) | 45 (2) | 47 (6) | 67 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 28 | 30 | - | 41 | 52 | 49 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Troy Smokin Joed 3yREP 16 | K Dodington — 18% R111 W20 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 52 | 51 (2) | 52 (1) | 48 (2) | 47 (2) | 58 (4) | 49 (5) | 65 (3) | 86 (1) | 61 (4) | 60 (3) | 35 | 49 | 25 | 50 | 55 | 47 | 3 | 15/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Triple Upgradeb 2yREP 33 | A Herbert — 10% R58 W6 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 40 | 65 (4) | 75 (5) | 81 (4) | 72 (4) | 56 (1) | 51 (2) | 57 (3) | 50 (3) | 42 (5) | - | 21 | 27 | 18 | 41 | 65 | 43 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Oioiperfectoladsd 3yREP 14 | A J Taylor — 13% R325 W41 P155 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 62 | 35 (4) | 47 (3) | 40 (4) | 34 (5) | 58 (1) | 53 (2) | 55 (2) | 36 (4) | 45 (4) | 62 (1) | 27 | 26 | 23 | 21 | 44 | 37 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Fastlane Bearb 3yREP 7 | G S Byford — 26% R251 W66 P163 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 57 | 57 (1) | 49 (2) | 44 (3) | 49 (2) | 49 (1) | 35 (3) | 30 (5) | 30 (5) | 30 (5) | 34 (5) | 28 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 44 | 44 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
Shows early pace from the inside box and has placed twice at this grade and trip in recent starts, including a second-place finish last time out at A8 grade. The front-running Fader profile means she gets to the lead quickly but may be vulnerable as the Closers come through in the home straight over the full 500 metres. Trap 1 is historically below average at this grade and distance, producing just 18.5% of winners from 151 runs. Capable of being prominent early and setting up a fast tempo, but the pace profile works against her in the later stages at Hove 500 metres.
Best structural trap plus top speed rating — the main threat to the selection, with the grade jump from A10 to A8 the only reservation.
Correct pace profile for Hove 500m and has won at this grade, but inconsistent form and modest speed rating make her a mid-field proposition.
Highly consistent but Fader profile over 500m Hove is a structural concern — likely to place rather than win.
All form at 285m D-grade — stepping up dramatically in both distance and grade. Cannot be recommended on available evidence.
Best structural draw, proven A7-A8 500m winner at Hove, Closer profile aligned with track character — strongest analytical case in the field.
Speed rank 1 wins 27.14% at Hove 500m A8 — strongest signal. Traps 4 and 6 dominant (24.65% and 25.38%). At middle grades, composite is less reliable — speed and course form take priority.
T1:18.54% T2:19.58% T3:19.51% T4:24.65% T5:20.75% T6:25.38%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Punk Rock Thief | 62 | 2 | Fader |
2Believe You Can | 38 | 98 | Closer |
3Troy Smokin Joe | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Triple Upgrade | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Oioiperfectolads | 77 | 0 | Fader |
6Fastlane Bear | 64 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 460m | 500m | 525m | 575m | 664m | 695m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Punk Rock Thief | — | — | 0.609 | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Believe You Can | — | — | 0.611 | 0.575 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Troy Smokin Joe | 0.608 | 0.638 | 0.611 | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Triple Upgrade | — | — | 0.608 | 0.571 | 0.562 | 0.620 | 0.621 |
| 5 | Oioiperfectolads | — | — | 0.612 | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Fastlane Bear | — | — | 0.613 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.