Loading...
Shelbourne Maiden Derby AAO 550 Semi-Final
Model does not predict this race
Open-grade races at Shelbourne Park are not predicted — insufficient model signal for elite open competition
This race is excluded from all accuracy and results tracking.
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ West Coast Coold 2y 15 | Peter Cronin — 33% R6 W2 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 86 (2) | 62 (4) | 78 (2) | 52 (3) | 36 (6) | 36 (6) | 85 (1) | 87 (1) | 44 (4) | 53 (3) | 4 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 65 | 47 | 6 | 15/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Gaytime Tecod 2y 23 | Graham Holland — 25% R36 W9 P21 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 81 (2) | 54 (3) | 98 (1) | 50 (4) | 74 (5) | 100 (1) | 88 (2) | 68 (4) | 69 (1) | - | - | 18 | 18 | 40 | 75 | 50 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballymac Malinasd 2y 11 | Liam Dowling — 19% R16 W3 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 81 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 81 | 42 | 1 | 10/11 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Jacktavern Bulld 2y 24 | Michael Taggart(NI) — 33% R15 W5 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 82 (2) | 65 (4) | 97 (1) | 96 (1) | 48 (5) | 52 (4) | 68 (4) | 96 (1) | 67 (4) | - | - | 46 | 24 | 29 | 76 | 51 | 3 | 9/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Old Alaskad 2y 35 | - | - | - | - | 66 (3) | 53 (5) | 88 (2) | 97 (1) | 95 (1) | 97 (1) | 70 (2) | 74 (3) | 69 (4) | 69 (4) | 9 | 41 | 21 | - | 77 | 47 | 2 | 11/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Uncle Keithd 2y 34 | Mark Robinson — 71% R7 W5 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 82 (2) | 73 (6) | 53 (3) | 66 (2) | 48 (5) | 57 (4) | 88 (2) | 64 (2) | 72 (6) | - | 25 | 34 | 18 | 36 | 68 | 48 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
Has the highest average performance rating in the field at 81, but this comes from a single race — his debut last Saturday where he finished third at AA0 550 metres here with a score of 81. One run is simply not enough to draw reliable conclusions, and a debut score of 81 finishing third is promising but not definitive. His trainer wins at 17 percent. There is genuine intrigue here as the debut was solid, but until he has at least a handful of races under his belt it is impossible to know whether that 81 is his ceiling or his floor. Treat with caution despite the headline average.
Best recent performance in the field with a strong trainer. The main danger to the selection.
Solid recent run and a 98 peak shows elite potential. Dangerous if consistent.
Strong recent run at this exact trip, a career peak well above this grade, and a solid trainer. Logical pick from the rematch evidence.
High career peaks but recent form well below that level. Distance unknown and declining trajectory are concerns.
Strong recent form and elite trainer but Fader profile at 550m on a fair track creates a genuine risk of being caught late.
Very limited condition data — 34 runs only. The composite model appears to underperform significantly at 550m AA0 at Shelbourne, suggesting form and recent momentum matter far more than rankings at this grade.
T1: 50%, T2: 0%, T3: 20%, T4: 0%, T5: 0%, T6: 20% — from only 34 runs. Sample size too small for reliable interpretation. T1 figure especially inflated by tiny sample.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 550m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 550m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (550m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 500m | 525m | 550m | 575m | 600m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Coast Cool | — | 0.554 | 0.545 | — | 0.551 |
| 2 | Gaytime Teco | — | 0.549 | 0.541 | — | — |
| 3 | Ballymac Malinas | — | — | 0.540 | — | — |
| 4 | Jacktavern Bull | — | 0.547 | 0.552 | 0.545 | — |
| 5 | Old Alaska | — | 0.548 | 0.548 | 0.555 | — |
| 6 | Uncle Keith | 0.581 | 0.548 | 0.540 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.