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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salacres Amarab 2y 4 | P H Harnden — 18% R387 W70 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 37 | 68 (3) | 75 (2) | 53 (6) | 72 (3) | 68 (3) | 45 (1) | 40 (2) | 42 (1) | 38 (1) | 29 (3) | 67 | 49 | - | 26 | 40 | 45 | 3 | 15/8JF | ||
| 2 | ▶ Vonder Expressd 2y 16 | D J Atkins — 17% R35 W6 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 57 | 56 (4) | 78 (1) | 67 (2) | 56 (4) | 68 (2) | 62 (4) | 39 (6) | 68 (2) | 67 (2) | 59 (3) | 41 | 45 | 38 | 37 | 57 | 47 | 2 | 15/8JF | ||
| 3 | ▶ Fabulous Sorab 2y 26 | L G Tuffin — 25% R271 W68 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 48 | 41 (6) | 62 (4) | 41 (6) | 41 (6) | 67 (2) | 48 (4) | 52 (3) | 46 (5) | 53 (5) | 80 (1) | 51 | 39 | 30 | 18 | 52 | 42 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Sonic Blitzen d 2y 18 | S J Rayner — 18% R176 W32 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 52 | 70 (1) | 72 (1) | 43 (5) | 53 (3) | 63 (3) | 72 (1) | 56 (3) | 56 (2) | 67 (1) | 56 (3) | 58 | 45 | - | 37 | 59 | 51 | 1 | 7/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Frankton Daisyb 3y 18 | C Weatherall — 15% R98 W15 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 47 | 88 (1) | 77 (1) | 73 (1) | 54 (3) | 65 (2) | 67 (2) | 55 (5) | 59 (3) | 31 (5) | 63 (2) | 36 | 37 | 30 | 29 | 48 | 39 | 6 | 11/4 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Camp Charlied 3y 27 | A Welch — 15% R292 W44 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 60 | 44 (4) | 40 (6) | 54 (6) | 29 (6) | 34 (5) | 83 (1) | 46 (2) | 45 (5) | 48 (4) | 52 (5) | 38 | 42 | 15 | 30 | 57 | 44 | 4 | 22/1 | ||
Sonic Blitzen gets the best structural draw in this race — T4 wins 23.8% from 256 runs, the highest win rate at these conditions. His All-Rounder profile (EP 52, CSR 43) means he has enough pace to sit in behind the Faders through bend 1 and enough stamina to sustain through the final bends where the Faders weaken. His form trajectory is encouraging: P73 (won at A5), P63 (3rd at A4, crowded), P53 (3rd at A4, crowded bend 3). All three A4 runs involved interference — his adjusted ability at this grade is likely higher than the bare numbers suggest. Trap suit 58 confirms he handles the middle draws, and his track suit of 45 reflects extensive Towcester experience. This is a low-separation race where the margins are thin, but the dominant trap draw and improving form give him the edge.
The main danger. Best speed, competitive performance level, and enough early pace to make the lead. The Fader profile is the question mark — if the Closers apply pressure through bends 3-4, he may weaken. But on his day (P69, P67), he's the best dog in this race.
A secondary danger on class potential alone — the A2 win proves the ability exists. But the extreme Fader profile with zero consistency means he's as likely to finish last as first. Too unpredictable to oppose the pick but impossible to ignore.
Structurally well-drawn but significantly outclassed. The T1 advantage can close some of the gap but not 12+ points of performance deficit. Unlikely to feature unless multiple rivals encounter serious trouble.
Has the ability to place if the pace collapses, but too inconsistent and too reliant on trouble ahead to be a serious threat for the win. One for place markets rather than win.
Dead draw, below-average ability, and a closing style that needs too much to go right. One to oppose.
LOW SEPARATION race — composite rank 1 wins just 23.0% vs rank 3 at 18.1% (4.8pp gap). T4 and T1 are the dominant traps from 1,363 runs. Sonic Blitzen's T4 draw is structurally advantaged at 23.8% — the best win rate in this field. The pick's All-Rounder profile and improving form trajectory (P53→P63→P73 over recent non-trial runs) give him an edge in a low-separation field, but the gap is slim.
T1:22.7% (247) T2:19.1% (231) T3:17.7% (221) T4:23.8% (256) T5:15.8% (254) T6:17.5% (154)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Salacres Amara | 46 | 57 | Closer |
2Vonder Express | 57 | 37 | Fader |
3Fabulous Sora | 38 | 86 | Closer |
4Sonic Blitzen | 52 | 43 | All-Rounder |
5Frankton Daisy | 48 | 70 | Closer |
6Camp Charlie | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.