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NWGOBA JUNE ON2/ON3 325 Final
Model does not predict this race
Novice/Open (ON) grade races at Irish tracks are not predicted — insufficient model signal for this grade format
This race is excluded from all accuracy and results tracking.
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Id Rather Notd 1y 2 | Brendan Matthews(NI) — 56% R9 W5 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 70 (1) | 59 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 46 | 40 | - | 41 | 65 | 56 | 5 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Margan Minnieb 1y | - | - | - | - | 67 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 33 | 30 | - | 30 | 67 | 54 | 4 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Pharis Jotad 1y 11 | - | - | 50 | - | 68 (1) | 43 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | - | 27 | 57 | 46 | 2 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Kirk My Boyd 1y 2 | - | - | 45 | - | 51 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 51 | 35 | 3 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Halfway Gotyad 1y 2 | - | - | 63 | - | 55 (2) | 51 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 | - | 16 | 53 | 40 | 1 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kick On Sond 1y 1 | - | - | - | - | 60 (2) | 68 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 36 | 40 | - | 40 | 64 | 54 | 6 | - | - | |
Ran second in a qualifying heat last week with a 55-rated performance and carries the best speed rating in this field at 63 — the highest of any runner and the key edge at a 325-metre sprint where the race is decided in the first few strides. Two runs at this course and distance with some established suitability. From trap 5 at a distance where early pace is everything, the raw speed advantage gives her a genuine chance to break clear before the field has time to close. If she gets the run she is capable of from the gate, the speed will tell.
DANGER: Won last week, best draw, best trainer signal — the strongest structural case in the race and the main rival to the pick.
Won her heat and has the highest average performance — a genuine factor in this final.
Won her heat and is improving but trapped awkwardly and slightly below the top candidates on performance.
Only non-winner qualifier — needs notable improvement to threaten the heat winners.
Good course experience and competitive form but trap 6 is a structural disadvantage that is hard to overcome at 325 metres.
No ON2-specific data. 866-run Lifford 325m dataset: trap 1 dominates at 22.6%, trap 6 worst at 11.4%. The composite ranking is flat — sprint performance and speed are the key factors in a heat final.
T1:22.6% T2:20.4% T3:14.9% T4:17.4% T5:17.1% T6:11.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 325m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 325m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.