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NORTHWEST GREYHOUND SUPPLIES A3/A4 525 Semi-Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Caoland 2y 23 | - | - | 48 | - | 72 (2) | 76 (2) | 77 (2) | 60 (4) | 66 (3) | 59 (3) | 62 (3) | - | - | - | 20 | 28 | 27 | 18 | 69 | 45 | 4 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Velvet Fernandod 1y 15 | - | - | 54 | - | 92 (1) | 67 (3) | 85 (1) | 77 (1) | 75 (1) | 59 (3) | - | - | - | - | 45 | 57 | 30 | 58 | 78 | 59 | 1 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Brocks Your Mand 2y 23 | - | - | 37 | - | 60 (3) | 35 (6) | 91 (1) | 83 (1) | 57 (4) | 78 (2) | 86 (1) | 52 (4) | 49 (4) | 57 (2) | 19 | 26 | 11 | 22 | 65 | 39 | 6 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Smurfing Legacyd 2y 14 | - | - | 45 | - | 63 (4) | 57 (5) | 91 (1) | 86 (1) | 42 (4) | 69 (3) | 78 (2) | 48 (6) | 49 (5) | 68 (3) | 29 | 38 | 23 | 53 | 67 | 49 | 5 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Smurfing Deeled 2y 23 | - | - | 56 | - | 72 (2) | 54 (5) | 70 (3) | 75 (2) | 56 (6) | 46 (6) | 64 (4) | 65 (4) | 74 (3) | 70 (2) | 25 | 34 | 14 | 26 | 65 | 49 | 2 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Dreenan Flyerb 2y 13 | - | - | 49 | - | 77 (3) | 90 (1) | 71 (2) | 76 (3) | 52 (3) | 84 (1) | 51 (6) | 69 (3) | 66 (2) | 79 (1) | 19 | 37 | 27 | 36 | 73 | 52 | 3 | - | - | |
Won last week at A3 525m with a 92-rated performance — the highest single run in this field's recent history — and has the highest average performance rating in the race at 78. The form trajectory is consistently impressive: 92, 67, 85, 77, and 75 across five starts, with the most recent being the standout. Drawn in trap 2, which wins 20% at this course and distance — a solid position. The most important factor is the course and distance familiarity: suitability scores of 57 across track, 58 across distance, and 45 across trap — the highest course experience profile of any runner here, suggesting she thoroughly knows this track and this trip. With the best recent run in the race, the highest average, and superior course knowledge, she is the clear selection.
DANGER: Best draw in the race and capable of elite-level form, but recent runs have been volatile — needs to return to his best today.
Consistent and experienced, but placed second last week behind today's pick — would need that form to reverse.
Has the ability but the recent form is below her best and trap 4 is below the average draw — not enough to overcome the pick.
Best speed in the field but the worst draw undermines the advantage — speed rank 1 is the weakest predictor at this track and grade.
Strong form and course experience, but trap 6 is a structural disadvantage and she finished third behind the pick last week.
Trap 3 best at 21.2% from 52 runs. Traps 5 and 6 poor at 11-13%. Speed rank 1 wins only 14.3% — the weakest predictor at A3 525m Lifford. Composite rank 3 (24.5%) outperforms rank 1 (18.9%) — suggesting the second and third-best horses often beat the favourite here. Performance and course form are the primary factors.
T1:20.4% T2:20.4% T3:21.2% T4:15.1% T5:11.5% T6:13.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 400m | 525m | 550m | 575m | 750m | 820m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caolan | 0.550 | 0.551 | 0.560 | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Velvet Fernando | — | — | 0.562 | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Brocks Your Man | 0.550 | 0.545 | 0.566 | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Smurfing Legacy | — | — | 0.561 | 0.556 | 0.559 | 0.579 | 0.584 |
| 5 | Smurfing Deele | 0.571 | — | 0.561 | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Dreenan Flyer | — | — | 0.562 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.