THE MINOGUE MOTORS SPRINT
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballarue Rolod 2y 16 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 10 | - | 100 (6) | 100 (1) | 89 (1) | 100 (1) | 74 (1) | 100 (5) | 47 (1) | 90 (5) | 38 (2) | - | 45 | 10 | - | - | 59 | 48 | 6 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Swift Hostiled 2y 6 | R A Draper — 29% R263 W76 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | - | 70 (1) | 81 (4) | 89 (2) | 75 (2) | 68 (2) | 90 (1) | 72 (1) | 71 (1) | 50 (5) | 67 (4) | 97 | 5 | - | - | 72 | 65 | 1 | 4/11F | |
| 3 | ▶ Scooby Matildab 2y 16 | C Weatherall — 16% R95 W15 P51 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 100 (1) | 82 (3) | 47 (1) | 42 (2) | 68 (2) | 32 (5) | 78 (4) | 47 (3) | 24 (1) | - | 28 | 30 | - | 60 | 45 | 43 | 3 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Crokers Darwind 2y 14 | D T Smith — 16% R403 W64 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | - | 27 (2) | 42 (1) | 84 (2) | 86 (2) | 100 (3) | 55 (1) | 47 (4) | 27 (1) | 42 (4) | - | 68 | 10 | - | - | 54 | 49 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Oileanb 2y 4 | D T Smith — 16% R403 W64 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 29 (6) | 32 (4) | 36 (6) | 75 (2) | 28 (3) | 100 (6) | 70 (5) | 72 (1) | - | - | 36 | 50 | 15 | 43 | 73 | 63 | 2 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Fairest Viewb 3y 3 | S W Deakin — 17% R519 W87 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 32 (5) | 41 (2) | 32 (5) | 36 (3) | 40 (2) | 30 (6) | 37 (3) | 28 (6) | 36 (3) | 38 (2) | 40 | 19 | - | 29 | 35 | 33 | 4 | 50/1 | |
Swift Hostile emerges as the strongest contender with a composite score of 65, a speed rating of 66, and a clear closer profile (CSR:100, paceCon:80). Average performance of 72 with lastP:75 demonstrates consistency in recent form. Critically, this dog has posted three consecutive wins at Romford OR1 (90, 23 trial, 22 trial), establishing genuine competency at the highest open grade despite the 270m distance typically favouring pace runners. Suitability is exceptional: trap suit of 97 is outstanding, distance suit of 0 is the primary concern, but track suit at 5 and class suit at 0 reflect OR2 competition. Trainer R A Draper records a 28% win rate. The closer profile at 270m is a tactical concern, but the strength of recent Romford OR1 form and the exceptional trap suitability of 97 suggest this dog can overcome the distance bias and control the race from trap 2. This represents the clearest pick in the race with measurable advantage over competitors.
Ballarue Rolo carries a low composite score of 48 with a fading profile (EP:100, CSR:0). Average performance sits at 59, with a significant gap in recent form (lastP:100 at Doncaster 275m OR). The dog has shown capability in rated races, including a second at Doncaster 275m OR3 (90) and a win at Doncaster 275m OR (100), but the recent effort at Newcastle OR (53) suggests form decline. Trainer S J L Lapidge operates at 16% win rate. The profile indicates a dog potentially vulnerable to pace pressure at this distance without significant recent momentum or competitive advantage over the field.
Scooby Matilda has a moderate composite score of 43 with a speed rating of 57 but mixed form indicators. The dog shows suitability potential (distance suit 60, trap suit 28, track suit 30) but these are diluted by a very low class suitability of 0, indicating vulnerability at the OR2 level. Recent form is volatile: a trial win (25) followed by a fourth at Towcester D1 (32), then a third in a full race at Towcester OR (78). The pattern suggests capability when form aligns but inconsistency in competitive company. Trainer C Weatherall operates at 28% win rate. The dog may find the OR2 grade challenging given the form gaps and the composite score of 43 leaves it well behind the leading contenders in this field.
Crokers Darwin operates with a composite score of 49 and a fading profile (EP:100, CSR:0), indicating a dog reliant on early pace advantage that dissipates over distance. Speed rating of 32 is below average, and lastP:100 at Dunstall OR (unrated) represents the most recent competitive outing. However, the dog has demonstrated OR-level capability with a win at Doncaster OR (54) earlier in the form sequence. Suitability is narrow: trap suit 68, track suit 10, distance suit 0, class suit 0. Trainer D T Smith operates at 22% win rate. The low composite score, modest speed rating, and lack of distance suitability suggest this dog will struggle with the OR2 grade over 270m, particularly if the race sets a strong early pace that the dog cannot sustain.
Swift Oilean presents as the primary danger with a composite score of 63, average performance of 73, and a closer profile (CSR:100, paceCon:0). The dog has proven form at Dunstall Park with a win at Dunstall OR3 (47), indicating comfort in the venue and grade progression pathway. Recent form is mixed but impressive: a win at Oxford OR (69) following the Dunstall run, though intervening runs at Dunstall OR produced a fifth (72) and fourth (98). Suitability is balanced across conditions: trap suit 36, distance suit 43, track suit 50. With a composite score only 2 points below the pick and genuine Dunstall Park experience, this dog poses a legitimate threat. However, the closer profile at 270m is a pacing concern, and the recent inconsistency (ranging from 47 to 100 across four runs) suggests variable form that could be exposed by the pick's superior consistency and track value.
Fairest View operates at the lower end of the scale with a composite score of 33 and a speed rating of 48. Average performance of 35 with lastP:35 shows the dog has been stuck at D1 level (five consecutive D1 runs: 35, 37, 34, 33, 29). The form sequence demonstrates stagnation with no recent progression to rated company or any evidence of capability at OR levels. Suitability is limited: distance suit 29, trap suit 19, track suit 40, class suit 0. Trainer S W Deakin operates at 14% win rate. This dog faces a significant class jump from D1 to OR2 and appears unlikely to contend given the ceiling demonstrated in recent form and the composite score ranking it substantially below the leading contenders in this competitive field.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.