Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballycowen Lilb 3y 26 | P V Swadden — 20% R101 W20 P51 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 31 | 1 | 97 (1) | 55 (3) | 93 (1) | 52 (4) | 52 (4) | 46 (5) | 51 (5) | 58 (4) | 59 (5) | 71 (3) | 28 | 5 | - | 50 | 67 | 35 | 6 | 20/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballykilduff Gemb 2y 24 | C Condon — 9% R33 W3 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 35 | 66 (5) | 67 (5) | 87 (3) | 66 (3) | 81 (1) | 57 (4) | 65 (4) | 32 (4) | 69 (3) | 82 (1) | 43 | 51 | 6 | 22 | 68 | 43 | 3 | 12/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Fabulous Rakiyab 2y 28 | L G Tuffin — 26% R274 W72 P147 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 66 | 68 (5) | 75 (3) | 88 (2) | 67 (3) | 55 (5) | 80 (1) | 61 (2) | 56 (4) | 65 (4) | 54 (5) | 26 | 45 | 18 | 13 | 69 | 36 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Malcolm Boshd 2y 26 | A M Kibble — 21% R179 W38 P112 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 74 | 34 | 82 (4) | 87 (3) | 60 (4) | 70 (3) | 78 (3) | 86 (4) | 100 (1) | 69 (5) | 78 (2) | - | 66 | 15 | - | - | 79 | 48 | 2 | 4/6F | |
| 5 | ▶ Frankton Daisyb 3y 310 | C Weatherall — 17% R100 W17 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | 100 | 88 (1) | 77 (1) | 73 (1) | 54 (3) | 65 (2) | 67 (2) | 56 (4) | 55 (5) | 58 (3) | 31 (5) | 31 | 22 | - | 30 | 68 | 33 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Essjay Soniab 2y 27 | F J Gray — 20% R345 W68 P184 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 66 | 55 (5) | 99 (1) | 89 (2) | 71 (3) | 84 (1) | 95 (2) | 99 (1) | 93 (2) | 87 (3) | 78 (2) | 31 | 44 | 32 | 53 | 83 | 51 | 4 | 7/2 | |
Combines the two strongest available signals in this race: T1 structural dominance at Towcester 712m (57.14% win rate, by far the most significant structural figure on today's card), and the best recent single-run performance in the field with P97 in the most recent outing. The form trajectory (P46, P52, P53, P93, P55, P97 oldest to newest) shows a volatile career with genuine peaks — P97 and P93 are exceptional marathon performances. Trainer Swadden is a quality operator. The volatile form (P55 between those peaks) is the one caution, but P97 most recently shows she is currently at her best. Drawing from the rail at a distance where T1 wins more than half the time recorded is the dominant structural advantage on any race on the card today.
Most consistent form in field over recent races — main danger if the pick has an off day.
Highest ceiling in the race but P55 most recently is too concerning at marathon distance — volatile.
P88 form makes her interesting but T5 zero structural wins is the strongest elimination signal on the card.
Consistent marathon performer but not matching the pick on either draw or recent form — others preferred.
Solid marathon standard but not reaching the level of the pick or danger — place potential at best.
T1 dominant at 712m S1 (57.14% from 34 runs) — extraordinary signal even with small sample. T5 structural elimination (0%). Pick combines T1 structural dominance with P97 recent peak form.
T1:57.14% T2:~14% T3:~14% T4:~14% T5:0% T6:~7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 712m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballycowen Lil | 100 | 22 | Fader |
2Ballykilduff Gem | 0 | 78 | Closer |
3Fabulous Rakiya | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Malcolm Bosh | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Frankton Daisy | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Essjay Sonia | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 712m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (712m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 500m | 575m | 650m | 684m | 712m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballycowen Lil | — | 0.599 | — | — | — | 0.621 | — |
| 2 | Ballykilduff Gem | 0.610 | 0.592 | — | — | — | 0.617 | 0.652 |
| 3 | Fabulous Rakiya | — | 0.593 | — | — | — | 0.615 | — |
| 4 | Malcolm Bosh | — | 0.592 | — | 0.609 | — | 0.608 | — |
| 5 | Frankton Daisy | — | 0.598 | — | — | — | 0.620 | — |
| 6 | Essjay Sonia | — | 0.586 | 0.623 | — | — | 0.614 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.