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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ De Next Timeb 3y 8 | P V Swadden — 20% R101 W20 P51 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 50 | 55 (2) | 61 (1) | 62 (1) | 60 (1) | 42 (3) | 49 (2) | 46 (3) | 59 (2) | 52 (6) | 60 (4) | 45 | 34 | - | 56 | 55 | 51 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Mustang Razord 3y 14 | J M Liles — 19% R422 W79 P223 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 46 | 57 (3) | 36 (4) | 42 (2) | 42 (4) | 63 (1) | 70 (2) | 86 (1) | 74 (1) | 75 (2) | 66 (3) | 35 | 47 | - | 36 | 56 | 44 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Belmullet Boozerd 3y 14 | S Gaughan — 14% R36 W5 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 41 | 41 (4) | 36 (2) | 57 (4) | 38 (3) | 93 (1) | 70 (5) | 40 (3) | 42 (2) | 72 (6) | 48 (1) | 35 | 43 | - | - | 51 | 38 | 6 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Jacktavern Peled 3y 4 | H J Dimmock — 20% R178 W35 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 57 | 45 (5) | 52 (2) | 63 (1) | 51 (5) | 92 (1) | 36 (4) | 43 (1) | 29 (5) | 54 (5) | 53 (5) | 38 | 51 | - | 41 | 53 | 51 | 3 | 7/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballymac Pallasb 3y 16 | A M Kibble — 21% R179 W38 P112 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 49 | 43 (3) | 61 (1) | 34 (5) | 39 (5) | 69 (2) | 85 (1) | 57 (4) | 60 (4) | 84 (1) | 81 (1) | 44 | 18 | - | 18 | 56 | 34 | 5 | 14/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballymac Geniusd 2y 9 | A M Kibble — 21% R179 W38 P112 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 55 | 55 (2) | 47 (4) | 63 (1) | 61 (1) | 43 (3) | 48 (6) | 86 (1) | 64 (3) | 47 (5) | 57 (5) | 28 | 44 | - | 44 | 56 | 52 | 1 | 3/1 | |
The most consistent dog in this field over the relevant recent stretch — four consecutive performances between 55 and 62 (P55, P61, P62, P60) show a dog who runs to a reliable standard at B-grade 460m every time. Inside draw at Towcester with T1 winning 27.27% of B1 460m races from 22 runs — the most reliable structural number on offer in this race. Trainer Swadden is the most accomplished conditioner on this card and runs at a strong strike rate here. Placed second at B1 460m recently, showing she can operate at this exact level. The key appeal here is predictability: not spectacular, but she turns up and runs close to her best almost every time.
C&D wins make her the main threat, but T6 structural concern cannot be ignored.
Inconsistent recent form makes her hard to rely on despite T2 sample lead.
Weak structural draw and below-par recent form — out of the reckoning.
Inconsistency and weak structural draw make this a difficult proposition.
Zero structural wins and wildly inconsistent form — cannot be recommended.
Tiny samples for all traps. T1 has best reliable data (22 runs, 27.27%). T6 zero wins from 7 attempts — genuine structural concern at this grade.
T1:27.27%(22r) T2:33.33%(12r) T3:10.71%(28r) T4:11.11%(9r) T5:0%(7r) T6:0%(7r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1De Next Time | 92 | 0 | Fader |
2Mustang Razor | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Belmullet Boozer | 86 | 0 | Fader |
4Jacktavern Pele | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Ballymac Pallas | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Ballymac Genius | 14 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 280m | 450m | 460m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Next Time | — | — | — | 0.590 | 0.599 |
| 2 | Mustang Razor | 0.596 | 0.586 | — | 0.587 | 0.591 |
| 3 | Belmullet Boozer | 0.592 | — | 0.593 | 0.591 | — |
| 4 | Jacktavern Pele | 0.595 | — | — | 0.586 | 0.602 |
| 5 | Ballymac Pallas | — | — | 0.606 | 0.594 | — |
| 6 | Ballymac Genius | — | — | 0.610 | 0.587 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.