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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Distant Pablod 2y 27 | J R Hall — 21% R330 W69 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 39 | 54 (3) | 43 (5) | 39 (6) | 20 (6) | 42 (5) | 56 (4) | 76 (1) | 65 (3) | 50 (5) | 55 (3) | 30 | 50 | 18 | 35 | 57 | 50 | 6 | 15/8 | |
| 2 | ▶ Mohican Rubyb 1y 24 | D T Smith — 16% R403 W64 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 55 | 37 (6) | 40 (6) | 31 (5) | 62 (3) | 71 (5) | 48 (3) | 68 (1) | 33 (4) | - | - | 42 | 48 | - | 45 | 53 | 50 | 1 | 13/8F | |
| 3 | ▶ Blazeaway Rocketd 2y 7 | S W Deakin — 17% R519 W87 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 56 | 27 (6) | 77 (1) | 70 (1) | 49 (6) | 26 (4) | 66 (6) | 72 (2) | 24 (1) | 61 (5) | - | 41 | 29 | - | 31 | 51 | 45 | 4 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Zip Awayb 3y 9 | K S Harrison — 17% R348 W58 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 41 | 77 (1) | 61 (3) | 59 (4) | 68 (3) | 77 (1) | 76 (2) | 63 (2) | 48 (5) | 65 (2) | 51 (5) | 60 | 39 | 54 | 40 | 59 | 55 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Regent Skyb 4y 27 | N M Slowley — 16% R99 W16 P43 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 55 | 21 (6) | 32 (1) | 26 (4) | 46 (5) | 60 (2) | 53 (4) | 48 (4) | 58 (3) | 50 (5) | 50 (6) | 39 | 41 | 19 | 30 | 56 | 49 | 2 | 20/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Tea And Toastb 3y 17 | S A Aveline — 10% R67 W7 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 48 | 55 (2) | 56 (4) | 52 (3) | 54 (5) | 67 (2) | 58 (3) | 61 | 52 (3) | 55 (4) | - | 29 | 43 | 25 | 29 | 55 | 48 | 5 | 7/2 | |
The model's pick despite sitting in the second-deadest trap on the card. Mohican Ruby's credentials are nonetheless compelling: a recent win at A5 (P71), preceded by a win at A6, demonstrates upward momentum through the grades. The form line (P71, P48, P68, P32, P36, P62) is mixed but includes two victories and several placements that suggest the dog is operating above average. Performance score of 53 and speed of 47 are middling, but the bend rating of 55 is notably strong — this dog turns well, a critical asset at 480m. The all-rounder profile (endurance pace of 51, closing speed of 17) suggests a dog that can adapt to race shape.
Elite trap with excellent recent form but poor track/distance profile. Could easily find a way despite poor suitability. Major danger.
Best raw ability, excellent trap and suitability. Absence of recent winning form is the concern, but the package is compelling. Strong danger.
Past-it closer struggling with conditions. Dead trap compounded by poor form. Avoid.
Consistent but unspectacular. A minor factor without a turning form point.
Trial form encouraging but race inconsistency evident. Dead trap too much to overcome.
The pick dog is in Trap 2, a dead trap with only 12.4% historical win rate — a structural disadvantage against field statistics. Yet the model still rates it first, suggesting that form, suitability, and emerging trajectory are overweighting the trap penalty. The composite inversion (R3 > R1) is the defining feature: expect an unpredictable race where conventional form guides may falter.
T1:14.4% T2:12.4% T3:21.4% T4:23.5% T5:18.3% T6:14.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Distant Pablo | 36 | 100 | Closer |
2Mohican Ruby | 51 | 17 | All-Rounder |
3Blazeaway Rocket | 60 | 0 | Fader |
4Zip Away | 43 | 99 | Closer |
5Regent Sky | 53 | 28 | All-Rounder |
6Tea And Toast | 49 | 72 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.