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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Darley Poped 3y 25 | J R Hall — 21% R330 W69 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 34 (1) | 20 (5) | 22 (3) | 27 (4) | 27 (3) | 31 (1) | 25 (3) | 19 (3) | 25 (4) | 26 (4) | 38 | 25 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 27 | 5 | 12/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Rosstemple Lilyb 2y 17 | P A Holder — 12% R142 W17 P67 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 28 (4) | 26 (4) | 14 (6) | 29 (3) | 32 (3) | 36 (1) | 22 (5) | - | - | - | 41 | 61 | - | 40 | - | 17 | 6 | 5/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Zebud 4y 17 | J R Hall — 21% R330 W69 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 32 (2) | 32 (2) | 16 (6) | 20 (6) | 35 (1) | 19 (6) | 28 (3) | 36 (1) | 16 (6) | 29 (4) | 48 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 28 | 32 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Paddys Mazdad 2y 6 | S W Deakin — 17% R519 W87 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 30 (2) | 30 (2) | 36 (2) | 22 (1) | 29 (5) | 30 (2) | 28 (2) | 30 (3) | - | - | 64 | 41 | 37 | 41 | 29 | 36 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Society Paddyd 3y 13 | S W Deakin — 17% R519 W87 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 25 (4) | 18 (6) | 30 (2) | 28 (4) | 26 (5) | 28 (1) | 24 (4) | 30 (6) | - | - | 23 | 36 | 19 | 36 | 26 | 28 | 2 | 9/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Shuffle The Deckd 2y 5 | M T Field — 22% R237 W52 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 28 (4) | 33 (2) | 36 (1) | 36 (1) | 31 (2) | 36 (1) | 23 (5) | 26 (4) | 25 (3) | 29 (3) | 9 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 3/1 | |
Clear structural and individual alignment in a low-separation field. Trap four is dominant here (20.8% strike from 130 runs), and Paddys Mazda carries the highest trap suitability in the field at 64—confirming this dog has individualised success from this box. Recent form (P36–P22–P29–P30–P28–P30) shows winning D3 form last start with consistent mid-range placings before that. Deakin's trainer record is moderate (10%) but structural advantage plus individual alignment override the trainer metric in a low-separation sprint. Suitability scores across track (41), distance (41), and class (37) are all above average. Speed rating of 48 is not elite but sufficient for D3 sprint. The data coheres: dominant trap, high trap suit, win record at grade, solid suitability profiles.
Dominant trap but lower individual suitability alignment than the pick—danger rather than pick.
Consistently bottom-half—oppose.
Trial form unreliable—skip unproven runner.
Dead trap negates form advantage—oppose despite capability.
Fader at short sprint distance without form dominance—avoid.
Trap three is 4.6 percentage points below expected baseline from 141 runs—dead draw at sprint distance. Traps four and five dominate. Composite separation of 3.9pp means model cannot reliably separate dogs; trap position and individual suitability are the arbiters.
T1: 17.5% T2: 19.9% T3: 12.1% T4: 20.8% T5: 20.9% T6: 19.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.