Homing Dogs With Home Run Hounds Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Baby Arcb 4y 22 | A S Mcpherson — 15% R285 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 17 | - | 55 (3) | 50 (4) | 25 (6) | 23 (6) | 16 (6) | 56 (2) | 43 (5) | 56 (3) | 19 (4) | 15 (5) | 23 | 23 | 19 | 22 | 57 | 45 | 6 | 3/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Croaghill Maxd 5y 25 | J Llewellin — 17% R365 W61 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | - | 46 (3) | 54 (2) | 44 (5) | 47 (3) | 54 (3) | 52 (2) | 52 (3) | 36 (5) | 43 (5) | 49 (3) | 20 | 25 | 22 | 23 | 65 | 50 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Cherry Blossomb 5y 34 | A S Mcpherson — 15% R285 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 47 | 30 (5) | 35 (5) | 44 (6) | 52 (6) | 48 (2) | 40 (3) | 68 (4) | 46 (1) | 52 (6) | - | 18 | 34 | 11 | 32 | 60 | 49 | 4 | 5/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Wolf Eclipsed 3y 13 | J Llewellin — 17% R365 W61 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 32 | 31 (6) | 48 (4) | 66 (2) | 64 (2) | 54 (3) | 54 (3) | 41 (5) | 44 (5) | 47 (2) | 65 (2) | 31 | 33 | 27 | 27 | 58 | 48 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Worra Duded 1y 16 | J Gray — 14% R224 W31 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 76 | 53 | 19 (5) | 61 (4) | 62 (2) | 74 (2) | 52 (1) | 44 (4) | 70 (5) | 50 (1) | - | - | - | 46 | - | 27 | 61 | 52 | 2 | 2/1F | |
| 6 | ▶ Invincia Jetd 4y 35 | J Daly — 18% R238 W44 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 83 | 59 | 79 (2) | 84 (1) | 65 (3) | 72 (2) | 69 (3) | 65 (3) | 83 (1) | 66 (2) | 76 (1) | - | - | 42 | 50 | 40 | 66 | 57 | 1 | 7/1 | |
Extraordinary speed — SPD 83 is not just field-best, it's elite-level for any grade. Front Runner with EP 61 and pace consistency 92 means he leads EVERY time and maintains that pace. P66 is field-best. Three consecutive wins (T3, T3, T1) across different grades showing versatility. CS 47 is mid-range — crucially NOT a confirmed Fader, so he should hold at 500m on Nottingham's galloping track. BND 59 gives him first-bend advantage. Drawn T6 which is THE dominant trap at 500m HP — 22.8% from 381 runs. Trainer Daly at 12% is weak tier but that's the only negative in an otherwise dominant profile.
DANGER: SPD 76 + class drop from A5 + All-Rounder profile. The inconsistent form (two terrible runs) prevents Strong confidence, but when he's on, he's capable of beating anything in this field except Invincia Jet at peak.
ELIMINATE: SPD 17 in a field with 83 and 76. Cannot compete on speed at any stage of the race.
OTHERS: Mr Consistent who'll pick up 3rd if the speed dogs tire, but SPD 29 means he can't challenge the top two. Place money only.
AGAINST: Decent effort last time (2nd) but speed deficit to the top two is too large. Erratic form and weak trainer.
AGAINST: Closer who needs the leaders to fade, but Invincia Jet's 92 pace consistency means the leaders won't fade enough.
T6 dominant at 22.8% from 381 runs. R1 composite 22.8%. Invincia Jet has T6 draw + field-best performance — the double advantage that condition data says wins 22.8% of the time.
T1:13.8% T2:15.9% T3:15.5% T4:16.1% T5:15.9% T6:22.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Baby Arc | — | — | No data |
2Croaghill Max | — | — | No data |
3Cherry Blossom | 50 | 34 | All-Rounder |
4Wolf Eclipse | 35 | 58 | Closer |
5Worra Dude | 50 | 53 | All-Rounder |
6Invincia Jet | 61 | 47 | Front Runner |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.