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Will's Big Night Runners Trophy
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Honour Janiceb 4y 15 | A S Mcpherson — 15% R285 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | - | 37 (5) | 57 (3) | 51 (3) | 54 (4) | 66 (5) | 35 (2) | 50 (1) | 59 (6) | - | - | - | 29 | 17 | 23 | 50 | 42 | 6 | 16/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Ferryforth Maryb 5y 25 | P J Wilson — 19% R110 W21 P46 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 49 | 47 (4) | 59 (3) | 71 (1) | 57 (1) | 49 (2) | 42 (3) | 55 (3) | 56 (3) | 74 (2) | - | 34 | 35 | 33 | 30 | 52 | 45 | 5 | 7/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Petite Pippab 3y 35 | A S Mcpherson — 15% R285 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 59 | 30 (5) | 48 (5) | 40 (3) | 68 (6) | 56 (2) | 53 (3) | 37 (4) | 46 (4) | 62 (4) | - | 16 | 33 | 9 | 29 | 60 | 48 | 4 | 7/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Skywalker Isakd 5y 15 | S W Deakin — 17% R519 W87 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 51 | 54 (3) | 30 (6) | 42 (6) | 40 (5) | 69 (6) | 44 (1) | 45 (6) | 44 (5) | - | - | 86 | 26 | - | 30 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Jager Brend 2y 16 | K Wilton — 23% R173 W40 P91 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 67 | 42 | 35 (6) | 38 (6) | 58 (3) | 52 (5) | 51 (6) | 78 (1) | 66 (2) | 77 (1) | 22 (1) | 57 (3) | - | 45 | - | 35 | 62 | 54 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Saled 4y 15 | M T Munslow — 23% R148 W34 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | - | 53 (4) | 75 (6) | 71 (1) | 57 (2) | 43 (3) | 67 (6) | 50 (3) | 55 (5) | 75 (6) | - | 43 | 46 | 45 | 44 | 70 | 61 | 1 | 9/2 | |
Dominant class edge — P70 is 8 points clear of the field. Three wins from last five at this EXACT condition (500m Nottingham HP) with performances of 80→81→80 in those wins — elite-level consistency. SPD 64 is second-best. SM 45 is field-best. Trainer Munslow at 32% strong tier. Drawn T6 which is THE dominant trap at 500m HP — 22.8% win rate from 381 runs, a huge sample confirming genuine bias. The only concern: last run was 6th (P58) and two runs before that were P73 and P69 — slight form dip from the 80-level peak. But his floor (58) is still near the field's ceiling.
DANGER: Best speed (67), best trainer (34%), Closer at 500m galloping, class dropper from A4. But P62 is 8 behind Swift Sale and that 6th last time is concerning. If the form dip was circumstantial, he wins. If it was real decline, he's in trouble.
ELIMINATE: Bottom of every metric. Three 6th-place finishes from last five. Completely outclassed.
AGAINST: Correct pace profile for the trip but too slow to execute. P52 and declining form leave her needing miracles.
AGAINST: Will lead early but Fader CS 21 at 500m galloping = guaranteed fade. The 2nd place last time was likely a slow-run race.
OTHERS: Strong trainer (30%) and trap suitability (86) are notable but P55 is 15 points behind the class dog. Outmatched.
T6 dominates at 22.8% from 381 runs — massive sample confirming a real trap bias at 500m HP. R1 composite also wins 22.8%. Swift Sale has BOTH — R1 performance AND T6 draw.
T1:13.8% T2:15.9% T3:15.5% T4:16.1% T5:15.9% T6:22.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Honour Janice | — | — | No data |
2Ferryforth Mary | 47 | 58 | Closer |
3Petite Pippa | 60 | 21 | Fader |
4Skywalker Isak | 52 | 42 | All-Rounder |
5Jager Bren | 48 | 68 | Closer |
6Swift Sale | — | — | No data |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.