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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Agincourt Mavkab 4y 16 | R H Tungatt — 17% R48 W8 P32 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | - | 35 (1) | 31 (1) | 20 (6) | 31 (2) | 30 (3) | 35 (1) | 31 (2) | 35 (1) | 31 (1) | 27 (3) | 51 | 36 | 42 | 54 | 31 | 36 | 3 | 4/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Lose Controld 2y 16 | S A Cahill — 19% R375 W72 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 86 | 24 (3) | 33 (2) | 32 (3) | 35 (2) | 30 (4) | 34 (2) | 34 (3) | 40 (1) | 61 (5) | 42 (5) | 30 | 36 | 26 | 26 | 34 | 32 | 1 | 2/1JF | ||
| 3 | ▶ Solid Amberd 3y 34 | G S Byford — 22% R227 W51 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | - | 33 (3) | 30 (4) | 31 (4) | 30 (3) | 33 (2) | 26 (4) | 29 (4) | 24 (6) | 40 (1) | 33 (2) | 53 | 41 | 33 | 22 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 2/1JF | ||
| 4 | ▶ Paddyjoes Lochd 3y 12 | K Dodington — 15% R119 W18 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | - | 26 (4) | 24 (6) | 88 (2) | 54 (5) | 31 (4) | 41 (1) | 35 (2) | 84 (1) | 34 (2) | 30 (5) | 24 | - | 11 | - | 44 | 36 | 5 | 5/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Annadown Paddyd 4y 22 | K Dodington — 15% R119 W18 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 14 | 31 (3) | 44 (6) | 51 (6) | 94 (1) | 94 (1) | 93 (1) | 80 (2) | 85 (1) | 73 (2) | 66 (4) | 30 | - | - | - | 65 | 39 | 2 | 4/1 | ||
Back-to-back sprint wins make Mavka the form horse at this trip, and the manner of those victories is significant. The D3 win last time came in 16.90 seconds after being crowded at bend two and the run-in — she won despite trouble, not because of a clean passage. The D4 win before that was similarly gritty, finding the lead near the line after racing on the rail. These aren't gifted victories from favourable draws; they're earned wins from a dog who fights for every length. The trap one draw at D3 is devastating — 30.9% of all winners come from this box, and Mavka's proven rail-running style is exactly what the position rewards. Her distance suitability of 54 is the highest in the race by a significant margin, confirming that 285 metres is her optimum trip. The track suitability of 36 and trap suitability of 51 add further confirmation that this configuration suits her. Tungatt at 16% is below average for trainers, but the dog's own form overrides any yard-level concerns. The 16.89 best time is the joint-quickest in the field, matching Highfield Lass from the earlier sprint. With the best draw, the best course-and-distance form, the highest trip suitability, and two wins from three starts at this distance, everything points to Mavka.
The most explosive dog at the meeting but too unreliable to pick — when she fires, nothing in this race can live with her.
Class dropper with the best trainer but no proven early pace — an each-way player at best.
Below the required standard on recent form and clock time — hard to see where the improvement comes from.
Far too talented for this grade but completely wrong for the trip and draw — a non-factor in the sprint.
D3 sprints at Hove are decided in the first three strides. Trap one's 30.9% dominance combined with the 25.4% speed conversion means a fast-breaking railer is the strongest possible profile.
T1 dominant at 30.9%, T6 secondary at 22.6%. T5 catastrophic at just 7.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 285m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.