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PK Electrical A4 525 Semi-Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tollstone Flashd 1y 24 | - | - | 54 | - | 50 (6) | 62 (4) | 65 (3) | 71 (3) | 59 (5) | 75 (2) | 81 (1) | 82 (1) | 63 (2) | 66 (2) | 27 | 42 | 51 | 28 | 65 | 49 | 2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ozeki No Kachid 3y 5 | - | - | 57 | - | 58 (4) | 59 (4) | 53 (5) | 70 (2) | 60 (5) | 65 (4) | 92 (1) | 55 (6) | 69 (2) | 91 (1) | 27 | 41 | 20 | 26 | 64 | 50 | 1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Carrigmore Cunhad 1y 2 | - | - | 47 | - | 57 (4) | 45 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 51 | 36 | 5 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Lauragh Taylord 1y 12 | - | - | 37 | - | 51 (6) | 43 (5) | 61 (2) | 49 (2) | 47 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 50 | 33 | 6 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Gwan Ar Tinab 2y 24 | Martin Lanney — 0% R8 W0 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 52 (5) | 69 (3) | 43 (6) | 83 (1) | 54 (6) | 62 (5) | 69 (4) | 82 (1) | 67 (3) | 68 (3) | 16 | 37 | 46 | 23 | 63 | 46 | 3 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Marinas Novad 1y 3 | Kurtis Bain (NI) — 20% R5 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 61 (3) | 49 (5) | 43 (4) | 49 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 51 | 39 | 4 | - | |
Gwan Ar Tina is selected on the strength of her 24 April win at Dundalk 525m A4 (perf 83, Ld 1/CmAg) — the most specific piece of course-and-grade form in this race. She led from the first bend and held on convincingly at this exact distance and grade. Her prior run in A3 on 23 May (perf 69, third) shows she can compete a grade higher. Class suitability of 46 is the highest in this race. Track suitability of 37 reflects genuine Dundalk experience. Composite of 46 is mid-field but her specific A4 525m Dundalk win is the strongest piece of evidence available. The most recent run (52 perf, slow away, crowded and blocked on 30 May in A3) looks an aberration caused by traffic — she was in A3 company and still nearly placed. Average performance of 63 is solid for this grade. T5 at Dundalk 525m is marginally the second-weakest trap at 15.9% but within the flat distribution this is a minor factor.
Best trap draw, strong class suitability, has raced at A2/A3. The key danger to the selection but has not won at Dundalk 525m yet. Danger.
Highest composite but inconsistent recent form and frequent slow breaks make him difficult to trust. Third-tier selection.
Completely insufficient form data for 525m. Cannot assess. Extreme outsider.
Poor Dundalk debut last week, ungraded form from Tralee does not transfer, zero suitability data. Difficult to support.
A5 ability in an A4 race. Zero suitability data and limited Dundalk 525m history. Clear outsider.
Dundalk 525m has an extremely flat trap distribution — only 2.9pp from T1 (18.8%) to T5 (15.9%). T5 is marginally the weakest trap, a slight structural negative for Gwan Ar Tina but far outweighed by her course-winning form.
T1:18.8% T2:17.5% T3:17.8% T4:16.3% T5:15.9% T6:16.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.