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ARC MAIDEN SPRINT TROPHY
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Francos Mattd 1y 26 | K A Schimmefennig — 4% R23 W1 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 100 | 30 (4) | 33 (6) | 51 (6) | 33 (4) | 38 (2) | 47 (1) | 43 (2) | 42 (1) | 29 (5) | 35 (3) | 43 | 41 | - | 42 | 38 | 36 | 1 | 9/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Joescourtsadd 2y 13 | A Kelly-pilgrim — 14% R220 W30 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 49 | 52 (6) | 71 (5) | 86 (2) | 72 (4) | 54 (2) | 57 (1) | 54 (2) | 53 (2) | 46 (3) | 47 (5) | 53 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 62 | 46 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Bower Kerryd 1y 5 | B D O'sullivan — 18% R534 W98 P297 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 36 (3) | 47 (1) | 36 (3) | 47 (1) | 37 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 44 | - | 42 | 40 | 36 | 3 | 11/8F | |
| 4 | ▶ Stonepark Kirbyd 2y 44 | G E Evans — 22% R304 W66 P155 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 30 | 44 | 71 (1) | 44 (6) | 30 (5) | 48 (6) | 72 (1) | 70 (1) | 65 (4) | 38 (1) | 36 (5) | - | 29 | - | - | - | 54 | 26 | 6 | 11/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Murdaniel Find 1y 13 | S Mavrias — 17% R243 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 34 (5) | 83 (2) | 29 (5) | 47 (1) | 35 (4) | 34 (4) | 40 (2) | 37 (4) | 37 (2) | 35 (6) | 26 | 26 | 18 | 26 | 44 | 37 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Headford Eimearb 1y 25 | M E Wiley — 20% R527 W104 P274 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 47 | 73 (3) | 67 (4) | 81 (1) | 78 (1) | 73 (5) | 59 (1) | 76 (4) | 82 (2) | 83 (2) | - | 34 | - | - | - | 74 | 40 | 5 | 9/4 | |
A first-bend rating of 100 is the number that drives this selection. At Central Park 277 metres — a track that has produced a 44 per cent all-the-way win rate across all distances — the dog that clears the first corner in front is extraordinarily difficult to catch. Francos Matt posts a perfect first-bend score from trap one, meaning he has consistently led or been first to the bend at Central Park in qualifying runs. The h3 score of 72.2 confirms recent form is at a higher level than the career composite of 36 suggests. The trap suitability of 43 and track suitability of 41 both confirm course experience. The selection is not the classiest dog on paper but at a track where first-corner position is the race, the bend data makes this the most defensible pick.
Best composite and best draw. The most likely to deny the selection.
Decent course form but null bend data and modest composite limit the case here.
Weakest form in the race. Not competitive in this company.
Worst draw at a first-bend sprint. Difficult to recommend regardless of form.
Highest raw avgPerf but declining recent form and no C&D validation. Too speculative.
BendR=100 for the pick is the single most important metric at 277m CP where the race is won and lost at the first corner.
T2:22.2% best at 277m, T5:13.0% worst — T1 draws 18.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.