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OLIVER MOORES BIRTHDAY DASH
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Proper Rebelb 5y 45 | T S Welch — 16% R118 W19 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 23 | 52 (4) | 54 (3) | 46 (5) | 46 (5) | 42 (2) | 45 (2) | 32 (5) | 38 (4) | 66 (3) | 69 (3) | 27 | 20 | - | - | 45 | 36 | 5 | 10/3 | |
| 2 | ▶ Mohican Honeyb 1y 19 | D K Hurlock — 19% R930 W176 P509 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 91 | 100 | 57 (1) | 52 (4) | 59 (3) | 31 (5) | 52 (4) | 48 (5) | 30 (5) | 39 (3) | 44 (1) | 22 (6) | 4 | 18 | - | - | 37 | 25 | 1 | 12/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Swabys Romilyb 3y 29 | D Mullins — 17% R364 W62 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 46 | 41 (4) | 80 (1) | 74 (1) | 47 (1) | 58 (3) | 57 (2) | 48 (4) | 72 (1) | 42 (6) | 25 (6) | 32 | 29 | 70 | 26 | 40 | 35 | 4 | 3/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Come On Jamesd 3y 35 | D K Hurlock — 19% R930 W176 P509 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 29 | 57 (3) | 34 (4) | 39 (2) | 37 (2) | 63 (2) | 43 (2) | 49 (5) | 37 (3) | 45 (6) | - | 3 | 24 | 18 | 19 | 47 | 31 | 6 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Da Young Ladd 4y 37 | D Mullins — 17% R364 W62 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 56 | 66 (2) | 59 (4) | 48 (2) | 58 (4) | 33 (5) | 48 (3) | 68 (2) | 59 (2) | 52 (5) | 50 (3) | 30 | 30 | 34 | 15 | 53 | 41 | 3 | 9/4F | |
| 6 | ▶ Crossfield Beccab 2y 5 | A Kelly-pilgrim — 14% R206 W28 P90 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 70 | 43 (5) | 50 (4) | 40 (3) | 67 (2) | 48 (5) | 37 (3) | 72 (1) | 65 (3) | 72 (1) | 39 (3) | 25 | 24 | 46 | 32 | 47 | 38 | 2 | 11/4 | |
The model rates her projected winner on speed (91) and bend (100) ratings that are off the charts — both field-best. But she's never raced at 575m before and her distance suitability is zero. Recent 400m form has been moderate (5-3-1-6-3). The Fader profile with maximum early pace means she'll lead to the first bend on the extended trip — but whether she stays the full 575m is the question.
Proven trip form and best bend rating — clear danger and arguably the best bet.
Three trip runs without threatening — opposable.
Stayed one before but form is erratic — each-way.
Strong trap but weak individual fit and poor bend — opposable.
Best form but the structural draw is unhelpful — each-way.
Small-sample S6 where trap numbers are noisy — the real edge is trip form, and two runners (Crossfield Becca, Da Young Lad) have clearly demonstrated staying ability.
T1:3.9% T2:38.1% T3:21.9% T4:28.6% T5:9.5% T6:17.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 575m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Proper Rebel | 0 | 83 | Closer |
2Mohican Honey | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Swabys Romily | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Come On James | 36 | 100 | Closer |
5Da Young Lad | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Crossfield Becca | 64 | 17 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.