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JASONS 60TH BIRTHDAY STAKES
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollywood Lillyb 3y 25 | T S Welch — 16% R118 W19 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 42 | 77 (2) | 46 (3) | 41 (4) | 27 (6) | 35 (5) | 30 (6) | 49 (3) | 57 (6) | 54 (3) | 40 (5) | 34 | 30 | 12 | 16 | 41 | 36 | 3 | 10/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Bensourboyd 3y 17 | M E Wiley — 19% R510 W99 P262 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 51 | 45 (2) | 41 (3) | 28 (6) | 41 (4) | 30 (6) | 53 (2) | 60 (1) | 60 (4) | 70 (3) | 75 (2) | 44 | 36 | 42 | 36 | 66 | 54 | 1 | 15/8F | |
| 3 | ▶ Minnies Sofiab 2y 27 | D K Hurlock — 19% R930 W176 P509 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 28 (6) | 28 (6) | 45 (3) | 53 (3) | 50 (1) | 50 (3) | 34 (1) | 44 (4) | 38 (1) | - | 35 | 27 | - | 41 | 44 | 39 | 2 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Millview Hugod 1y 5 | G E Evans — 23% R291 W66 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 52 | 30 (6) | 56 (2) | 53 (2) | 59 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 | - | - | - | - | 4 | 6 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Orange Ryand 4y 38 | M E Westwood — 14% R250 W34 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 52 | 63 (1) | 46 (3) | 52 (2) | 50 (3) | 64 (1) | 46 (3) | 59 (1) | 39 (1) | 40 (4) | - | 45 | 37 | - | 3 | 40 | 37 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Seomra Oysterd 2y 7 | K M O'flaherty — 19% R329 W64 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 56 | 37 (3) | 44 (2) | 40 (4) | 48 (2) | 36 (5) | 43 (4) | 44 (2) | 35 (4) | 51 (2) | 32 (6) | 30 | 28 | 23 | 22 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 10/3 | |
Won an A9 led throughout (P60) two weeks ago on his return from a staying campaign, where he produced an S4 win at P89 and three placings at S3 level. Average performance of 66 is a clear 20 points above the field average — massive class edge that overwhelms any trap concerns. Best speed rating in the race (65), Closer profile ideal for Romford 400m with a strong pace ahead of him.
Best CD strike rate but wrong trap at this grade — danger mostly on form.
Best trap wasted on a dog with slow break — place hopes.
Market-watch job — hard to back without race form.
Honest placegetter but no winning edge — opposable.
Wrong profile for the trip — opposable.
Low-separation A8 where trap bias would normally dominate — but the pick has a massive class edge (20 points above field average on performance) that the LOW SEP rule doesn't account for.
T1:23.4% T2:18.0% T3:13.1% T4:19.2% T5:14.8% T6:15.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hollywood Lilly | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Bensourboy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Minnies Sofia | 48 | 53 | All-Rounder |
4Millview Hugo | 56 | 20 | Fader |
5Orange Ryan | 52 | 47 | All-Rounder |
6Seomra Oyster | 61 | 10 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.