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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tommys Slippersd 4y 34 | T D Coote — 18% R546 W100 P275 Trainer form — last 3 months | 89 | 100 | 55 (4) | 66 (4) | 37 (3) | 71 (6) | 62 (2) | 39 (3) | 29 (6) | 47 (6) | 69 (3) | - | 20 | 5 | - | - | 54 | 30 | 2 | 9/4F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Fast Fit Mollieb 3y 25 | W M Lyons — 19% R974 W189 P518 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 46 | 32 (5) | 35 (4) | 48 (1) | 63 (2) | 52 (1) | 46 (2) | 49 (3) | 44 (3) | 39 (4) | - | 26 | 27 | 20 | 41 | 44 | 28 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ The Old Ole Taled 2y 15 | M N May — 16% R259 W42 P101 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | - | 23 (5) | 28 (1) | 23 (1) | 19 (2) | 18 (2) | 30 (4) | 17 (1) | 21 (4) | 26 (3) | - | 48 | 30 | 38 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 6 | 4/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Hopeythedancerb 2y 26 | I Zivkovic — 13% R567 W76 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 51 | 50 (3) | 73 (6) | 38 (1) | 32 (6) | 42 (6) | 57 (6) | 49 (3) | 64 (2) | 63 (1) | - | 27 | 28 | - | - | 51 | 32 | 1 | 6/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Cactus Closedownb 3y 17 | W M Lyons — 19% R974 W189 P518 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | - | 26 (3) | 21 (2) | 26 (6) | 35 (5) | 32 (1) | 30 (1) | 26 (2) | 22 (3) | 23 (4) | - | 26 | 25 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 25 | 4 | 4/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Grumpy Dorisb 1y 16 | N Langley — 16% R196 W32 P113 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 47 | 24 (3) | 28 (3) | 23 (3) | 33 (6) | 23 (1) | 31 (5) | 33 (5) | 30 (6) | 25 (1) | - | 16 | 14 | 19 | 16 | 27 | 22 | 3 | 5/2 | ||
The pick, albeit with significant caveats. Speed rating of 89 is extraordinary — 38 points above the next best in the race — and best time of 15.90 is nearly a full second faster than anyone else present. First bend rating of 100 is the maximum, suggesting he navigates turns at pace. EP of 69 is middling for sprints but at this speed differential, he may simply be too fast for them to lay up with. T1 draws well at D4 (20.61%, second-best). The massive concern is zero track suitability and zero distance suitability — his form comes from 500m racing at other venues, and 268m at Kinsley is a completely different proposition. His last run at D3 268m returned only 4th with P55, which is above average here but shows the sprint format isn't an automatic win despite the speed advantage. The Fader tag at 268m is irrelevant since there's no time to fade. If his raw pace translates, nothing in this field can live with him. If the sprint format confuses him, the experienced sprinters could take advantage.
Class dropper from A7 with P51 average well above D4 regulars — the quality is there if the sprint format works for her
Worst trap at D4 and a 462m-to-268m distance switch make her structurally disadvantaged despite decent underlying form
Best trap on the card at 24.46% compensates for lowest EP and modest average — a pure structural play
Best EP among the regular D4 sprinters but T5's 10.79% is a structural death sentence at this trip
Good draw and honest placings form but three consecutive 3rds tells you her ceiling — a framing prospect, not a winner
T3 massively dominant at 24.46% from 1760 runs — strongest single-trap bias at Kinsley today. T5 catastrophic at 10.79%. Speed R1 strong at 23.13%.
T1:20.61% T2:12.91% T3:24.46% T4:15.22% T5:10.79% T6:19.29%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.