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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ A Lucky Tomd 4y 25 | B Heaton — 16% R200 W31 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 58 | 29 (5) | 38 (3) | 26 (2) | 24 (3) | 18 (5) | 29 (6) | 41 (4) | 43 (4) | 72 (1) | 32 (5) | 13 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Itillberateb 6y 26 | D E Fradgley — 18% R95 W17 P50 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 47 | 23 (6) | 39 (5) | 42 (2) | 39 (4) | 40 (4) | 51 (2) | 48 (3) | 46 (3) | 36 (5) | 49 (2) | 31 | 29 | 17 | 22 | 43 | 43 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Beckys Cashoutb 3y 15 | W M Lyons — 20% R1041 W207 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 15 | 34 | 38 (5) | 45 (2) | 31 (1) | 15 (6) | 26 (3) | 30 (1) | 21 (3) | 25 (5) | 15 (6) | 46 (5) | 19 | 17 | 26 | 21 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Tickets Katieb 2y 14 | I Zivkovic — 14% R613 W85 P284 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 31 | 49 (2) | 41 (3) | 20 (5) | 19 (5) | 18 (6) | 18 (4) | 33 (5) | 31 (5) | 23 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | 22 | 54 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Coolavanny Nanob 3y 18 | M N May — 16% R264 W42 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 78 | 37 (4) | 21 (6) | 44 (3) | 44 (3) | 38 (5) | 25 (4) | 30 (1) | 37 (5) | 19 (4) | 40 (4) | 19 | 15 | 12 | - | 36 | 40 | 4 | 7/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Da Maureens Starb 3y 14 | J S Atkins — 14% R289 W41 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 58 | 35 (4) | 43 (4) | 51 (2) | 43 (4) | 38 (6) | 58 (1) | 43 (3) | 38 (4) | 32 (6) | 24 (3) | 23 | 12 | 27 | 18 | 42 | 46 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
The pick on speed and style grounds. Best speed rating among genuine 462m runners at 54 with a Front Runner profile that thrives on Kinsley's downhill gradient. EP of 61 is decent and bend of 58 is solid — she should make the front from T6 and dictate the pace. T6 draws well at A8 (17.89%, second-best). Recent form shows 4th, 2nd, 4th, 6th, 1st — the win came at this grade and the 2nd confirms she competes regularly. P43 average with a P51 and P58 peak shows A8 is comfortably within her range. The concern is consistency — three 4ths and a 6th mixed with the better runs — but at A8 level, having the best pace from the best outside draw is often enough. She won her most recent A8 outing here and Front Runners at Kinsley are structurally advantaged.
Consistent placer with competitive speed who frames regularly — the reliable each-way option behind the pick
Sprint convert with lowest EP in the field from the worst trap — structural disadvantage on multiple fronts
Speed rating of 15 and P24 average make her completely non-competitive at 462m — sprint form doesn't transfer
Speed 100 is a mirage from a different context — zero C&D suitability and five straight poor finishes make her a write-off here
Strong bend rating of 78 gives her a positional edge but modest average and zero distance suitability cap her ceiling
T4 and T6 strongest at 18.52% and 17.89%. T1 weakest at 13.88% from 1398 runs. Relatively flat bias compared to higher grades.
T1:13.88% T2:15.63% T3:16.55% T4:18.52% T5:17.53% T6:17.89%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1A Lucky Tom | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Itillberate | 49 | 66 | Closer |
3Beckys Cashout | 38 | 28 | Fader |
4Tickets Katie | 35 | 100 | Closer |
5Coolavanny Nano | 79 | 6 | Fader |
6Da Maureens Star | 60 | 50 | Front Runner |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 245m | 268m | 435m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A Lucky Tom | — | 0.642 | — | 0.642 |
| 2 | Itillberate | — | — | — | 0.637 |
| 3 | Beckys Cashout | — | 0.638 | — | 0.644 |
| 4 | Tickets Katie | 0.634 | 0.640 | 0.629 | 0.635 |
| 5 | Coolavanny Nano | — | 0.635 | — | 0.643 |
| 6 | Da Maureens Star | — | 0.641 | — | 0.636 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.