Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Drumdoit Fernb 1y 24 | J Andrews — 20% R245 W48 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 68 (2) | 59 (3) | 78 (1) | 66 (2) | 29 (2) | 30 (3) | 28 (5) | - | - | - | 55 | 51 | 18 | 46 | 29 | 37 | 2 | 7/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Islas Princed 2y 6 | D L Cross — 18% R116 W21 P68 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 55 | 22 (6) | 41 (1) | 32 (5) | 31 (2) | 41 (3) | 32 (1) | 27 (2) | 47 (3) | 49 (4) | - | 30 | 34 | - | 24 | 42 | 38 | 6 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Kemosabed 2y 6 | E T Parker — 20% R208 W41 P118 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 29 (3) | 26 (5) | 28 (4) | 31 (5) | 27 (3) | 37 (5) | 32 (1) | 23 (1) | 25 (3) | - | 52 | 48 | 25 | 37 | 28 | 34 | 1 | 2/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Lifes A Beachb 3y 16 | L J Stephenson — 20% R257 W51 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 29 (5) | 32 (6) | 35 (4) | 27 (2) | 36 (6) | 30 (5) | 35 (1) | 21 (3) | - | - | 45 | 35 | 31 | 24 | 29 | 31 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Kerrydale Halod 4y 24 | L A Taylorson — 17% R234 W39 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 27 (4) | 26 (3) | 30 (3) | 36 (1) | 30 (2) | 28 (3) | 27 (4) | 31 (3) | 26 (4) | 31 (3) | 43 | 33 | 36 | 35 | 30 | 32 | 4 | 12/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Russanda Lipsyb 4y 25 | E T Parker — 20% R208 W41 P118 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 45 | 51 (5) | 70 (1) | 50 (4) | 67 (1) | 55 (2) | 26 (5) | 34 (2) | 32 (1) | 23 (4) | 50 (3) | 32 | 36 | 44 | 40 | 40 | 39 | 5 | 9/2 | |
Kemosabe benefits from the best draw in the race by a considerable margin — trap 3 wins nearly 30% of D3 sprints at Sheffield, which is a structural advantage that lifts him above his modest individual form. He's dropped from D2 where he ran some respectable races, including a solid third, and the ease in grade should help. His course and distance record is strong with track suitability of 48, and the trap suitability of 52 confirms he handles this box well. Trainer Parker's strike rate is low, but the combination of dominant draw and decent suitability makes the case.
Best suitability profile in the field with strong recent form — the principal danger.
D2 ability but form trending the wrong way — needs to bounce back sharply.
Consistent but lacks a gear change — more likely to place than win.
Best ability in the race but crippled by a dead trap 6 draw — hard to back despite the class.
Will lead early but the Fader profile and weak draw suggest he'll be caught — others preferred.
Trap 3 is overwhelmingly dominant at nearly 30% from 172 runs — almost double the expected rate. Trap 6 is dead at just 11.4% from 202 runs. The structural picture is emphatic and aligns perfectly with the pick.
T1:19.0% T2:16.1% T3:29.7% T4:21.0% T5:20.3% T6:11.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.