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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Drumdoit Nanab 3y 16 | J Andrews — 20% R245 W48 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 33 (2) | 39 (2) | 19 (5) | 34 (3) | 41 (1) | 35 (2) | 41 (1) | 36 (2) | 37 (1) | 9 (6) | 54 | 35 | - | 57 | 33 | 38 | 3 | 8/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Orchid Legendd 3y 15 | M A P O'donnell — 19% R293 W55 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 29 (4) | 61 (2) | 42 (1) | 32 (3) | 32 (5) | 41 (5) | 50 (3) | 48 (4) | 31 (5) | 56 (3) | 62 | 45 | 25 | 36 | 44 | 45 | 4 | 7/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Memories Paybackb 3y 5 | L J Stephenson — 20% R257 W51 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 46 (1) | 28 (5) | 28 (6) | 45 (1) | 31 (4) | 31 (2) | 30 (4) | 42 (1) | 30 (4) | 36 (3) | 53 | 46 | 22 | 45 | 35 | 40 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Drumdoit Onanad 2y 7 | L J Stephenson — 20% R257 W51 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 42 (1) | 26 (5) | 30 (5) | 31 (3) | 38 (2) | 34 (3) | 42 (1) | 32 (2) | 37 (1) | 36 (2) | 47 | 43 | - | 50 | 34 | 38 | 2 | 9/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Ellanne Bestd 4y 111 | R A Draper — 29% R263 W76 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 47 (1) | 42 (1) | 36 (2) | 36 (2) | 34 (3) | 36 (2) | 30 (5) | 35 (4) | 42 (2) | 48 (5) | 53 | 51 | 44 | 29 | 38 | 40 | 5 | 15/8 | |
Memories Payback won impressively last time in D2 with the fastest time in the field (16.19) and is stepping up to D1 for the first time. His pace figures suggest strong early pace and he handles this course and distance well — track suitability 46, distance 45, trap 53 are all solid. The step up in grade is the obvious question, but his D2 winning form has been strong with a win and third from his last three starts. Trainer Stephenson has a 14% win rate. In a low-separation race with limited structural guidance, his form and suitability make him a reasonable pick.
Equally good recent form as the pick with the best distance suitability — the clear danger.
Strong D2 form but the dead trap 1 draw at this grade is a serious structural concern.
Most talented dog in the race but the extreme Fader profile adds risk — will lead but may not last.
Only D1-experienced runner with decent suitability — needs to bounce back from a poor last run.
Extreme low separation (R1 18.3% vs R3 17.0%) — the model is essentially guessing between the top three. The dominant T3 draw is vacant (only 5 runners). T1 is dead at 8.2%. With limited structural guidance and no dominant trap occupied, this is a genuine coin-flip race.
T1:8.2% T2:16.4% T3:25.5% T4:17.7% T5:17.1% T6:16.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.