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THE HOME STRAIGHT SHOWDOWN
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Baileys Bulletb 2y 28 | P W Young — 18% R1321 W234 P741 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 35 | 60 (2) | 68 (1) | 50 (3) | 54 (3) | 51 (4) | 57 (4) | 61 (3) | 69 (2) | 47 (1) | - | 28 | 25 | 18 | 31 | 58 | 31 | 6 | 16/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Old Fort Wifib 2y 8 | T Batchelor — 18% R112 W20 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 52 | 62 (2) | 51 (4) | 70 (1) | 58 (2) | 57 (2) | 65 (1) | 58 (2) | 73 (1) | 64 (2) | 42 (5) | 58 | 58 | 23 | 54 | 60 | 53 | 1 | 2/1JF | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Zenith Sunriseb 2y 27 | D Mullins — 18% R365 W67 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 41 | 62 (3) | 62 (3) | 60 (2) | 72 (1) | 61 (2) | 58 (3) | 65 (2) | 62 (4) | 59 (2) | - | 34 | 36 | 28 | 34 | 63 | 44 | 4 | 2/1JF | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Vinegarhill Lard 3y 24 | M E Wiley — 19% R514 W96 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 54 | 61 (3) | 62 (3) | 64 (2) | 58 (5) | 50 (6) | 56 (4) | 51 (5) | 45 | 85 (6) | - | 41 | 40 | 34 | 24 | 59 | 44 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Harley Hitchb 2y 10 | D W Lee — 22% R236 W52 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 57 | 70 (1) | 56 (3) | 54 (4) | 51 (4) | 58 (3) | 52 (2) | 50 (4) | 51 (4) | 49 (5) | 54 (5) | 30 | 27 | 23 | 29 | 56 | 44 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Headford Sranged 1y 4 | M E Wiley — 19% R514 W96 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 69 (6) | 59 (6) | 65 (1) | 53 (2) | 50 (1) | 50 (2) | 53 (3) | 70 (2) | - | - | 32 | 36 | 9 | 52 | 60 | 46 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
A genuine danger — tops the composite rankings and has a decent course-and-distance record of two wins from eight starts (25%). Drawn in trap 2, which is the second-best performing box at A5 grade with 20.9% winners. His recent form of 62 and 51 at A5 level — placed both times — shows he is competitive. He is a Closer, which is the less preferred profile at Romford's 400 metres where tight bends make it hard to come from behind, but his speed rating is second only to our selection. If Zenith Sunrise underperforms, this is the most likely winner.
PICK (Tentative): Speed rank 1, highest average performance in the race, consistent recent form, and an All-Rounder pace profile that suits the 400-metre trip better than the Faders around him. Trap position is modest but offset by form quality.
Experienced course-and-distance performer with decent recent form ratings, but two successive sixths despite reasonable ratings raise questions. Third pick in the field.
Running below her usual A4 grade, which is a positive, but her Fader profile and modest C&D win rate limit her claims despite a good trap draw.
Drops in grade after a recent A6 win which is a positive. Fader profile is the ongoing concern but her recent form rates her as a live contender at this level.
Good trap draw and decent C&D record, but the slowest speed rating in the race makes it hard to see him winning unless the pace completely falls apart.
Speed rank 1 wins 24.2% from 517 runs — the primary pick signal at A5. Strong course-and-distance records (3+ runs at 25%+ win rate) significantly boost win probability at this track.
T1:18.2% T2:20.9% T3:17.6% T4:20.7% T5:19.3% T6:19.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Baileys Bullet | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Old Fort Wifi | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Zenith Sunrise | 52 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Vinegarhill Lar | 62 | 6 | Fader |
5Harley Hitch | 59 | 16 | Fader |
6Headford Srange | 34 | 53 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 400m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (400m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 450m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baileys Bullet | 0.618 | — | — |
| 2 | Old Fort Wifi | 0.615 | — | 0.635 |
| 3 | Zenith Sunrise | 0.614 | — | — |
| 4 | Vinegarhill Lar | 0.615 | — | — |
| 5 | Harley Hitch | 0.619 | — | — |
| 6 | Headford Srange | 0.617 | 0.627 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.