The numbers say she should win this race — fastest on speed, tops the composite rankings, and has the best bend rating in the field by some distance, which is an enormous asset at a bend-critical track. She won at A8 last time out and has two wins from six course-and-distance starts at a 33% strike rate. The problem is trap 6 and her Fader pace profile: Faders from the outer traps are specifically disadvantaged at Romford's tight 400 metres because they lead briefly through the first bend then tire progressively as the race develops over four tight turns. The track data supports this — it is the single most consistent override at this distance. She remains a danger because her speed advantage is real, but she needs to hold on in the closing stages.