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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Montana Tigerd 1yN/R 14 | C R Morris — 28% R250 W71 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 47 | 60 (3) | 95 (1) | 77 (3) | 79 (2) | 73 (2) | 87 (1) | 69 (1) | - | - | - | 45 | 32 | - | 41 | 79 | 53 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Kilara Trojand 3y 15 | I J Barnard — 23% R262 W59 P162 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 53 | 80 (2) | 63 (5) | 91 (1) | 63 (5) | 92 (1) | 67 (4) | 49 (6) | 63 (3) | 64 (4) | 90 (1) | 28 | 34 | 25 | 27 | 71 | 44 | 3 | 2/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Worth The Riskd 2y 28 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 65 | 67 (3) | 59 (5) | 41 (5) | 61 (5) | 87 (1) | 64 (3) | 54 (5) | 81 (5) | 68 (2) | - | 54 | 31 | - | 31 | 73 | 51 | 1 | 15/8F | |
| 4 | ▶ Magical Wolfd 4y 24 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 39 | 51 (5) | 55 (5) | 70 (3) | 65 (3) | 50 (6) | 72 (3) | 89 (1) | 63 (3) | 80 (2) | 72 (2) | 37 | 33 | 8 | 41 | 73 | 50 | 2 | 11/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Romantic Stormb 2yN/R 26 | S Knights — 19% R123 W23 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 57 | 69 (4) | 65 (4) | 76 (2) | 67 (5) | 92 (1) | 82 (4) | 72 (3) | 89 (1) | 70 (3) | 64 (5) | 2 | 47 | 32 | 27 | 74 | 42 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Oh So Luckyb 3y 15 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 46 | 53 (6) | 56 (4) | 68 (3) | 47 (6) | 50 (4) | 46 (5) | 58 (6) | 71 (5) | 87 (4) | - | 19 | 34 | 19 | 39 | 64 | 42 | 4 | 3/1 | |
The model's pick on the strength of an A2 win last time out and an A2 second the start before that. The serious caveat is that four of her last six outings were trials so the competitive form base is thin — we have two results to go on, not six. Chris Morris is a first-rate trainer and a closer profile suits the long Yarmouth home straight, but the draw and the thin body of evidence both point to a cautious approach.
Dominant draw, LR A2 winner, fastest into the first bend — the structural case is strong.
Most consistent top-grade form in the field — genuine place certainty and a live win chance.
Capable A1 runner but hard to see her winning off this recent form line.
Can close well but the draw and trap unfamiliarity leave too much to do.
Out of her depth at A1 — place shout at best.
Yarmouth A1 is a fair grade where the model's rank ordering holds up well historically. Rank 1 wins a quarter of races — the favourite angle works. The main structural factor is the T3 draw which has a noticeable edge over the others.
T1:19% T2:20.5% T3:22.3% T4:18.3% T5:16.2% T6:18.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Montana Tiger | 49 | 61 | Closer |
2Kilara Trojan | 59 | 32 | Fader |
3Worth The Risk | 67 | 26 | Fader |
4Magical Wolf | 40 | 75 | Closer |
5Romantic Storm | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Oh So Lucky | 51 | 39 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.