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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Please Ailbhed 3yN/R 15 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 24 (4) | 22 (4) | 16 (5) | 23 (4) | 25 (2) | 22 (4) | 31 (1) | 18 (4) | 30 (1) | 16 (5) | 35 | 38 | 34 | 38 | 24 | 29 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Flosses Mcqueenb 2y 4 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | - | 25 (3) | 22 (4) | 25 (2) | 23 (4) | 23 (3) | 19 (3) | 25 (3) | 18 (5) | 21 (4) | 21 (4) | 10 | 48 | - | 48 | 21 | 26 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Tommys Lightb 2y 16 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 36 (1) | 21 (5) | 30 (2) | 25 (4) | 36 (1) | 26 (2) | 31 (1) | 25 (2) | 26 (3) | 22 (3) | 57 | 38 | 20 | 38 | 24 | 31 | 1 | 5/6F | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballymac Gailb 4y 14 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 27 (2) | 24 (3) | 29 (2) | 23 (5) | 32 (1) | 25 (3) | 15 (4) | 22 (4) | 21 (5) | 22 (4) | 36 | 36 | 35 | 33 | 24 | 28 | 2 | 6/5 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballymac Naginib 3y 26 | S A Birks — 16% R217 W35 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | - | 34 (4) | 50 (2) | 25 (5) | 21 (2) | 25 (4) | 14 (2) | 19 (5) | 19 (4) | 17 (5) | - | 37 | 39 | 35 | 38 | 18 | 25 | 4 | 16/1 | |
Tommys Light has been a consistent performer in D4 275m sprints at Doncaster, placing second and third from his last two starts, and crucially he is drawn in trap 3 which is the dominant position in these conditions at 27.6% from 116 runs. His trap suitability of 57 is the best in the field by a wide margin, confirming he personally handles this draw extremely well on top of the aggregate structural advantage. Trained by S Watson with a 32% strike rate, the combination of form, draw, trainer, and individual trap suitability all converge to make a strong case. His form figures are modest in absolute terms but he is the classiest runner here and the conditions strongly favour him.
Drops in class from a strong draw with matching speed — the clear danger to the pick.
Capable sprinter but drawn poorly — needs luck from the inside to overcome the structural headwind.
Stepping up in class from the weakest draw with poor trap suitability — faces a tough task.
Weakest in the field on form despite reasonable suitability — unlikely to threaten.
T3 is the dominant draw at 27.6% and the pick sits there — strong structural alignment. T4 also good at 23.6%. Inside traps are weak.
T1:16.8% T2:16.8% T3:27.6% T4:23.6% T5:20.2% T6:36.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.