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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tommys Dollyb 2yN/R 15 | S Watson — 31% R421 W129 P297 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | - | 20 (6) | 25 (5) | 41 (1) | 42 (1) | 37 (1) | 31 (2) | 36 (1) | 36 (1) | 36 (1) | 29 (3) | 47 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 36 | 39 | - | - | ||
| 2 | ▶ Qwertyb 2y 7 | S Watson — 31% R421 W129 P297 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | - | 78 (3) | 89 (2) | 79 (2) | 84 (2) | 37 (2) | 31 (4) | 23 (5) | 29 (3) | 29 (5) | 33 (2) | 58 | 55 | 38 | 55 | 31 | 40 | 2 | 4/6F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Kanturk Signetd 1y 3 | J M Windrass — 18% R28 W5 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 0 | 39 (2) | 43 (5) | 100 (1) | 62 (3) | 42 (2) | 42 (1) | - | - | - | - | 24 | 70 | - | 70 | - | 19 | 5 | 3/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Real Gone Kidd 4y 24 | D Calvert — 17% R549 W93 P313 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | - | 35 (3) | 32 (3) | 31 (3) | 33 (3) | 34 (3) | 41 (1) | 26 (5) | 36 (3) | 29 (3) | 38 (2) | 50 | 46 | 54 | 63 | 34 | 41 | 3 | 7/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Kates Bojangleb 5y 23 | D Calvert — 17% R549 W93 P313 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | - | 24 (5) | 33 (3) | 32 (4) | 29 (4) | 41 (1) | 26 (5) | 29 (3) | 41 (1) | 32 (2) | 26 (5) | 35 | 32 | 32 | 59 | 31 | 35 | 4 | 8/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Ruffian Roundyb 3y 5 | R J Overton — 18% R328 W58 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 100 | 35 (2) | 41 (1) | 26 (5) | 35 (2) | 28 (5) | 29 (5) | 41 (1) | 35 (2) | 34 (2) | 29 (4) | 37 | 32 | 23 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 1 | 7/1 | ||
Ruffian Roundy has the highest prediction score in the field driven by explosive early pace and a strong bend rating, but her actual form is largely based on trials rather than competitive races. Her last competitive D2 effort a month ago saw her finish second, which was encouraging, but the prior form was disappointing. She is a confirmed fader with maximum early pace who should blast out of the traps from the outside draw. Trap 6 is neutral at 20.7% from 198 runs — not a structural disadvantage but not a help either. In a low-separation race the prediction model leans on her pace and bend numbers, but the form and structural data do not fully support the selection. An honest assessment is that Tommys Dolly has the stronger overall case.
Two consecutive wins from the dominant draw with the best suitability and top trainer — the strongest case in the race.
Outstanding suitability scores and chased the form horse home — a genuine contender.
Unproven in competitive racing despite impressive trial form — a wildcard who could surprise or disappoint.
Honest performer drawn poorly — likely to be involved but the structural headwind limits his chances.
Inconsistent but drawn well — capable of placing without threatening the principals.
LOW SEPARATION — R1 wins 24.8% vs R3 at 20.7%, just 4.1pp gap. Trap bias is more meaningful than ratings here. T1 dominates at 26.0% from 223 runs. T6 is neutral at 20.7% — not a structural advantage for the pick.
T1:26.0% T2:18.8% T3:23.4% T4:18.0% T5:24.6% T6:20.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.