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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Coin Boxd 1y 13 | E Saville — 18% R106 W19 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 41 | 44 (5) | 84 (1) | 65 (2) | 82 (1) | 63 (2) | 76 (1) | 57 (4) | - | - | - | 18 | 61 | - | 40 | 64 | 55 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Swift Lamab 1y 15 | J Llewellin — 17% R365 W61 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 48 | 52 (5) | 47 (5) | 68 (5) | 72 (2) | 55 (1) | 59 (3) | 40 (4) | 42 (4) | 52 (6) | - | 34 | 41 | - | 31 | 61 | 52 | 2 | 10/3 | |
| 3 | ▶ Honour Newquayb 2y 16 | A S Mcpherson — 15% R285 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 68 | 49 (6) | 63 (3) | 75 (2) | 64 (1) | 72 (1) | 43 (5) | 60 (3) | - | - | - | - | 63 | - | 40 | 69 | 63 | 3 | 2/1F | |
| 4 | ▶ Tribal Buckod 3y 24 | F Macklin — 20% R205 W42 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 33 | 46 (6) | 66 (6) | 70 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 14 | - | - | 57 | 44 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Loco Lesb 2y 18 | J Llewellin — 17% R365 W61 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 55 | 51 (3) | 38 (5) | 58 (3) | 44 (5) | 49 (4) | 54 (5) | 55 (4) | 51 (3) | 52 (4) | 66 (2) | 39 | 33 | 23 | 27 | 59 | 50 | 4 | 14/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Mon Visaged 2y 18 | J Daly — 18% R238 W44 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 54 | 42 (4) | 56 (4) | 56 (2) | 73 (1) | 52 (4) | 55 (3) | 56 (4) | 46 (3) | 57 (3) | 42 (5) | 12 | 29 | 23 | 22 | 51 | 41 | 6 | 9/2 | |
Closer (CS 67) from the rail with outstanding venue form — suitTrack 61 is the joint-best in the field. Won a T3 trial from T2 and placed 2nd from T1 at this venue. PC 89 shows reliable closing consistency. At Nott 500m, Closers from T1-T3 CAN win and T1 specifically gives a clean rail passage through the tight first bend while the three Faders ahead (T3, T5, T6) give ground. Speed 46 is modest — third-worst in the field — but the Closer profile means she finishes getting faster while everyone ahead finishes getting slower. The pace should be strong with EP 68 from T3, EP 56 from T5, and EP 55 from T6 all setting it up. She tracks through the rail, saves ground through every bend, and closes as the leaders weaken. Trainer E Saville at 10% is low but the venue form overrides.
DANGER: Better speed than the pick (51 vs 46) and ultra-consistent from a good inside draw. Has been placing 3rd every time — the Fader collapse could promote her to 1st-2nd. The difference from Coin Box is venue form (Coin Box's suitTrack 61 vs 41 is significant).
Elite EP from the ideal draw but Fader CS 6 is fool's gold at 500m even from T3. Will lead early and look impressive but the closing stages will expose the fading weakness. Likely weakens to 3rd-4th despite leading for most of the race.
CS 100 gives her the best closing ability in the field but EP 22 means she will be too far back to close the gap even with a perfect finish. Macklin's strong trainer signal adds some interest but the maths don't work — too much ground to make up from too far back.
Best speed but Fader from T5 at Nott 500m is a structural double-penalty. Will be prominent early then fade to 4th-5th as every other run confirms.
Can be confidently opposed. Fader from worst draw with poor venue form from T6. Structural mismatch on multiple dimensions.
Three Faders vs three Closers creates a predictable race shape. At Nott 500m where inside Closers can win, the Fader collapse should benefit T1 and T2. T3 Honour Newquay is in the sweet spot but the Fader CS 6 profile means she will weaken despite the draw advantage.
A5-specific data not fetched. General Nott 500m: T3 sweet spot, T1-T3 dominate 60-70%, T5-T6 penalised.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Coin Box | 42 | 67 | Closer |
2Swift Lama | 45 | 56 | Closer |
3Honour Newquay | 68 | 6 | Fader |
4Tribal Bucko | 22 | 100 | Closer |
5Loco Les | 56 | 44 | Fader |
6Mon Visage | 55 | 35 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.