Homing Dogs With Home Run Hounds Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Princes Legacyb 3y 5 | B Denby — 20% R260 W51 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 54 | 66 (2) | 78 (1) | 56 (5) | 67 (3) | 78 (1) | 67 (6) | 52 (2) | 75 (4) | 55 (2) | - | 26 | 29 | 25 | 26 | 57 | 47 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Legion Cash Outd 2y 16 | E Saville — 18% R106 W19 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 51 | 59 (4) | 80 (2) | 75 (3) | 81 (1) | 57 (4) | 77 (2) | 23 (1) | 63 (4) | 56 (4) | 74 (2) | 42 | 54 | 22 | 38 | 65 | 58 | 2 | 9/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Jaymir Arlob 4y 26 | J Daly — 18% R238 W44 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 49 | 62 (3) | 49 (6) | 67 (3) | 67 (2) | 59 (2) | 83 (1) | 55 (5) | 50 (5) | 67 (4) | 73 (3) | 33 | 40 | 40 | 38 | 61 | 53 | 1 | 3/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Aghaburren Fused 4y 26 | B Denby — 20% R260 W51 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 63 | 55 (5) | 85 (1) | 67 (2) | 48 (5) | 81 (2) | 87 (1) | 62 (3) | 55 (5) | 82 (1) | 82 (1) | 37 | 36 | 32 | 33 | 61 | 52 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Droopys Treatb 1y 5 | F Macklin — 20% R205 W42 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 42 | 89 (1) | 73 (2) | 69 (4) | 73 (3) | 71 (2) | 88 (6) | 51 (1) | - | - | - | 18 | 28 | - | 28 | 55 | 44 | 6 | 3/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Dynamite Blueb 3y 16 | S J Spillane — 15% R112 W17 P59 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 48 | 36 (3) | 23 (5) | 57 (5) | 82 (1) | 29 (5) | 35 (2) | 60 (2) | 77 (1) | 60 (3) | 73 (2) | 26 | 40 | - | 35 | 65 | 54 | 3 | 4/1 | |
Outstanding CD form from the T3 sweet spot at Nottingham 500m A3: 3rd, 2nd, 2nd in three consecutive runs from T3. That is three straight top-3 finishes at these exact conditions from the ideal draw — she is overdue a win. Best speed in the field (59) combined with strong closing speed (CS 87) and elite consistency (PC 89). T3 is the Nottingham 500m sweet spot — avoids T1-T2 rail crowding while staying tight through the critical first bend. SuitClass 40 shows proven A3 form. EP 38 means slow away but the pace will be set by two CS 0 Faders (T4 and T5) who will guarantee fast early fractions for the Closers to run at. Trainer Daly at 14% is low but the dog is doing the talking — three consecutive placed efforts building toward a win.
DANGER: A2 class drop + CS 100 from T2 is a formidable combination. Very close to being the pick. The difference is that Jaymir Arlo has better speed (59 vs 54), better CS form at these exact conditions (3 consecutive top-3 from T3), and the sweet spot draw.
Moderate Fader from the rail. Will be involved early but the closing stages will expose the CS 27 weakness. Likely 3rd-5th depending on how the pace unfolds.
CS 0 Fader from T4 at 500m. Will set strong early pace then weaken to 4th-6th as the Closers close. The A4 win doesn't translate to A3 with two elite Closers drawn inside.
Can be confidently opposed despite EP 100 and Macklin's strong trainer signal. CS 0 from T5 at 500m is the most severe structural mismatch possible. Will lead then collapse spectacularly.
Structural disadvantage from T6. Likely to finish mid-to-rear of field.
Two CS 0 Faders (T4 and T5) guarantee strong early pace that will collapse. Two elite Closers (T2 CS 100, T3 CS 87) from inside draws are perfectly positioned to capitalise. The question is which Closer arrives first.
General Nott 500m: T3 sweet spot, T1-T3 dominate 60-70%. T5-T6 penalised.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Princes Legacy | 61 | 27 | Fader |
2Legion Cash Out | 34 | 100 | Closer |
3Jaymir Arlo | 38 | 87 | Closer |
4Aghaburren Fuse | 70 | 0 | Fader |
5Droopys Treat | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Dynamite Blue | 39 | 73 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.