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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollyoak Cleob 3y 7 | R W Butler — 16% R232 W37 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 24 (2) | 22 (5) | 28 (3) | 32 (2) | 18 (6) | 23 (4) | 32 (1) | 29 (2) | 28 (2) | 23 (4) | 42 | 39 | - | 38 | 26 | 32 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Run On Queenb 5y 35 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 27 (4) | 25 (3) | 37 (4) | 29 (1) | 31 (3) | 24 (1) | 19 (5) | 27 (5) | 27 (3) | - | 37 | 41 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 32 | 2 | 9/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Da Prophetd 3y 5 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 24 (4) | 35 (1) | 31 (3) | 32 (1) | 23 (5) | 24 (5) | 26 (3) | 29 (2) | 21 (5) | 27 (4) | 31 | 29 | 20 | 31 | 28 | 29 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Hollyhill Patsyd 2yN/R 25 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 100 | 35 (5) | 36 (6) | 39 (4) | 51 (3) | 57 (2) | 52 (2) | 44 (3) | 50 (2) | 30 (1) | 29 (1) | 26 | 63 | - | 56 | 38 | 40 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Broadway Sugarb 5y 36 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 25 (4) | 23 (5) | 22 (6) | 27 (5) | 35 (2) | 37 (1) | 36 (1) | 32 (2) | 21 (5) | 25 (4) | 43 | 34 | 31 | 42 | 29 | 34 | 1 | 3/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Speedy Elmb 3y 16 | D P Brabon — 23% R361 W82 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 0 | 74 (2) | 79 (1) | 75 (1) | 71 (1) | 59 (2) | 27 (3) | 50 (5) | 56 (3) | 56 (4) | 49 (5) | 54 | - | - | - | 49 | 51 | 5 | 5/6F | |
Hollyhill Patsy is a fascinating pick. She drops from 491-metre A6 company into a D3 sprint and brings exceptional venue credentials — her track suitability of 63 and distance suitability of 56 are the best in the race by huge margins, confirming she has proven form at this course and distance from earlier in her career. She's a confirmed Fader with maximum early pace and bend ratings, meaning she should absolutely fly from the traps and dominate through the first bend. Her D4 win over this trip in March showed she can sprint effectively. The class suit of 0 at D3 is the only concern — she's unproven at this specific grade — but her overall profile and the model's extremely high score suggest she should handle it comfortably.
Best speed figure in the field and proven at the grade — the danger if the favourite ties up.
Stepping up from D4 with limited D3 credentials — solid place prospect but winning is a stretch.
Capable D3 winner but drawn in the weakest box — needs luck at the first bend to be involved.
Consistent D3 performer with nothing to separate him from the pack — mid-division finish most likely.
Highest raw class in the field but zero venue form and a Closer at sprint distance — fascinating but too risky to rely on.
Flat trap bias and low separation, but the h3 score outlier (89.3 vs next best 42.3) suggests the model sees a significant class advantage for the pick. Venue credentials of 63 track suit and 56 distance suit are outstanding.
T1:17.4% T2:14.8% T3:16.8% T4:18.8% T5:16.1% T6:16.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.