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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Montana Faithfulb 1y 14 | T M Levers — 17% R113 W19 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 30 | 43 | 41 (5) | 47 (4) | 47 (5) | 48 (3) | 45 (3) | 33 (5) | 32 (6) | 69 (1) | 17 (6) | - | 5 | 36 | 25 | 22 | 40 | 30 | 5 | 8/13F | |
| 2 | ▶ Tommys Goldstard 1y 13 | R Pattinson — 17% R123 W21 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 44 | 49 (5) | 52 (2) | 47 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 27 | 26 | - | 26 | 49 | 39 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Hollyoak Siobhanb 2y 4 | R W Butler — 16% R232 W37 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 51 | 49 (4) | 70 (1) | 65 (2) | 40 (3) | 67 (1) | 32 (5) | 43 (5) | 48 (4) | 29 (2) | 31 (1) | 6 | 52 | - | 14 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 14/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Sterling Ladyb 1y 6 | R Pattinson — 17% R123 W21 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 61 | 55 (3) | 48 (4) | 73 (1) | 71 (1) | 35 (5) | 63 (2) | 55 (3) | 44 (4) | 46 (5) | 57 (3) | 4 | 37 | - | 31 | 49 | 36 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Beach Husslerd 3y 9 | T M Levers — 17% R113 W19 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 74 | 54 | 57 (6) | 57 (4) | 61 (3) | 57 (3) | 62 (4) | 58 (2) | 58 (2) | 38 (4) | 51 (6) | - | 40 | 30 | 28 | 24 | 57 | 47 | 1 | 7/1 | |
Beach Hussler has the highest speed figure in the race by a country mile and is a pure Closer who finishes strongly when the pace is genuine. He's been competing in A3 company and ran a fine second in his last handicap at this course, proving he handles the format well. The speed advantage is the decisive factor in handicaps where the stagger is designed to equalise performance differences — the dog that runs fastest on the clock has a structural edge the handicap can't fully eliminate. Drawn in the stripes which is the second-best trap for handicaps at Central Park, and his trap suit of 40 is reasonable. He needs to close from behind, but his closing speed ratio is perfect and the raw pace is there to reel in the leaders.
Strong Closer stepping down from A5 with good speed — should be in the mix late if the pace is strong.
Weakest speed figure in the field by a huge margin — the handicap can't compensate for that deficit.
Poor suitability scores and weak A5 form — likely to be outpaced by the better-handicapped runners.
Dominant trap and strong early pace, but the Fader profile and awful individual trap suit create conflicting signals.
HANDICAP — trap bias de-weighted, speed/pace profile elevated. T5 and T6 both dominant but stagger changes dynamics. Composite rank 1 wins at 25.4% — form still matters in HP races.
T1:14.8% T2:15.9% T3:18.1% T4:18.9% T5:25.6% T6:21.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Montana Faithful | 46 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Tommys Goldstar | 50 | 81 | Closer |
3Hollyoak Siobhan | 59 | 32 | Fader |
5Sterling Lady | 68 | 0 | Fader |
6Beach Hussler | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.