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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Las Vegasd 1y 8 | P Miller — 19% R561 W105 P295 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 36 (2) | 39 (1) | 36 (1) | 37 (5) | 45 (5) | 24 (4) | 32 (1) | 24 (3) | 25 (6) | 63 (1) | 35 | 37 | 35 | 54 | 36 | 38 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Fantastic Dearb 3y 8 | G Strike — 20% R428 W85 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 31 (4) | 39 (3) | 39 (2) | 35 (4) | 35 (4) | 32 (5) | 45 (1) | 41 (1) | 31 (3) | 29 (4) | 36 | 30 | 28 | 25 | 36 | 35 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Put Onmy Socksd 2y 19 | P Miller — 19% R561 W105 P295 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 56 | 26 (4) | 35 (2) | 39 (2) | 41 (1) | 41 (5) | 28 (1) | 49 (4) | 71 (6) | 37 (3) | - | 16 | 34 | 39 | 38 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Roanna Chanceb 2y 36 | D Blackbird — 17% R1107 W186 P611 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 69 | 47 | 45 (5) | 61 (4) | 61 (3) | 64 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 57 | 24 | 1 | 14/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Tullymurry Pegb 1y 28 | E Y Bell — 22% R530 W116 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 30 (3) | 43 (5) | 45 (5) | 42 (1) | 37 (5) | 41 (2) | 24 (1) | 33 (5) | 70 (3) | - | 26 | 25 | 34 | 32 | 39 | 31 | 2 | 2/1F | - | |
A speed rating of 69 tops this field by a considerable margin — but all of that speed comes from 450-metre A3-grade racing, and this dog has never run at 261 metres before. Track and distance suitability are both zero, confirming no experience at this trip. As a confirmed closer with an early pace rating of 39, this is the wrong running style for a 261-metre sprint — closers cannot make up ground at this distance. Rated 45, 61, 61, 64 in 450-metre races, which is A3 ability, but the discipline change is enormous and the pace profile is wrong. The speed rating is misleading here — it reflects a different type of racing. Must be set aside despite the headline number.
Fastest among the genuine sprint specialists and a decent structural draw — the main threat to the selection.
Best structural draw in the race with an appropriate pace profile — a genuine alternative if the selection's form does not fire.
A 50% course and distance win rate at this exact trip is the most reliable signal in this field — form at the track and distance overrides the trap disadvantage.
Best early pace but worst structural draw and a poor last run — the trap disadvantage is significant at 261m.
Sunderland 261m D2 — speed rank 1 wins 20.25% from 316 runs, very similar to composite rank 1 at 19.94%. Trap 6 is the best structural position (22.14%) and trap 4 is the weakest (12.37%). At sprint distances, the speed first rule applies — but only for genuine sprinters. A dog whose speed comes from 450m races is not the same animal as a sprint specialist.
T1:21.09% T2:14.09% T3:17.16% T4:12.37% T5:15.13% T6:22.14%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 261m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (261m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 325m | 400m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Las Vegas | 0.625 | — | — | 0.639 |
| 3 | Fantastic Dear | 0.616 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Put Onmy Socks | 0.620 | — | — | 0.630 |
| 5 | Roanna Chance | — | 0.554 | — | 0.625 |
| 6 | Tullymurry Peg | 0.619 | — | 0.545 | 0.637 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.