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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lady Miamib 3y 110 | G Strike — 20% R428 W85 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 48 | 80 (1) | 79 (1) | 59 (4) | 67 (3) | 55 (4) | 58 (5) | 69 (4) | 79 (3) | 75 (1) | - | 37 | 32 | 15 | 42 | 70 | 47 | 2 | 9/4JF | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Moulton Debbieb 2y 17 | E Y Bell — 22% R528 W116 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 42 | 44 (5) | 67 (3) | 57 (4) | 77 (2) | 44 (6) | 52 (5) | 37 (5) | 86 (1) | 58 (4) | 85 (1) | 31 | 38 | 20 | 28 | 58 | 37 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Church St Katieb 3y 28 | P Miller — 19% R560 W105 P295 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 50 | 50 (4) | 62 (4) | 55 (5) | 81 (1) | 55 (5) | 66 (3) | 55 (3) | 60 (4) | 81 (4) | - | 34 | 30 | 40 | 20 | 61 | 37 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Drumcrow Arlowd 3y 110 | G Strike — 20% R428 W85 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 56 | 59 (4) | 60 (4) | 74 (3) | 73 (2) | 77 (2) | 60 (4) | 51 (5) | 83 (1) | 43 (5) | 79 (1) | 17 | 37 | 17 | 28 | 66 | 45 | 1 | 9/4JF | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Wiltshired 4y 34 | E Y Bell — 22% R528 W116 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 52 (5) | 60 (5) | 70 (3) | 74 (2) | 79 (1) | 64 (3) | 76 (1) | 52 (6) | 54 (5) | 76 (1) | 33 | 33 | 14 | 28 | 65 | 40 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
Drawn in the best structural trap at A3 Sunderland (19.71% from 279 runs) and has solid A3 form to back it up — rated 74, 73 and 77 in older starts, though the two most recent runs dropped to 59 and 60. A fader who goes off fast and tries to hold on — the early pace of 58 means she will be prominent from the off in trap 5. The form peak of 77 is genuinely competitive at A3 level, and if she can rediscover that form she is clearly capable of winning here. The best structural draw in the field today. The real question is whether she can recreate earlier performances or whether the dip to 59-60 represents her current level.
Back-to-back A3 wins at 80 and 79 with the best form record, best speed, and a 40% course and distance win rate — the standout selection in this race.
Worst structural draw, closing style, and most recent run disappointing — not easy to support today.
Moderate recent form at A3 level with a reasonable draw, but well behind the selection on current showing.
Worst structural draw in the race and current form well below the pick — unlikely to trouble the front two.
A3 at Sunderland shows the composite performing better at 20.78% from 669 runs — the model is more reliable at upper grades. Speed rank 1 wins 19.46%, similar. Trap 5 is the structural best draw at A3 (19.71%) and trap 6 the worst (14.33%). The skill notes composite ceiling at Sunderland is Medium confidence for A1-A3.
T1:17.03% T2:15.43% T3:16.77% T4:18.43% T5:19.71% T6:14.33%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Lady Miami | 45 | 71 | Closer |
2Moulton Debbie | 42 | 56 | Closer |
4Church St Katie | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Drumcrow Arlow | 58 | 40 | Fader |
6Wiltshire | 54 | 46 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.