| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tommys Dollyb 2yREP 18 | S Watson — 29% R417 W122 P285 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 28 (4) | 20 (6) | 20 (6) | 25 (5) | 41 (1) | 41 (1) | 37 (1) | 31 (2) | 36 (1) | 36 (1) | 44 | 39 | 56 | 41 | 29 | 30 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Spa Hilld 2y 4 | L B Pruhs — 16% R134 W21 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 44 | 27 (4) | 28 (3) | 29 (3) | 24 (5) | 22 (5) | 29 (2) | 9 (1) | 71 (6) | 27 (3) | - | 21 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 28 | 26 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Broken Missesb 3yN/R 34 | S A Birks — 15% R212 W31 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 26 | - | 11 (5) | 20 (5) | 17 (5) | 26 (3) | 29 (2) | 23 (4) | 18 (5) | 18 (5) | 18 (5) | 18 (5) | 11 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 4 | - | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Burnpark Bradleyd 1yREP | S Watson — 29% R417 W122 P285 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 28 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | - | - | - | 28 | 23 | 2 | 11/8JF | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballymac Tingleb 3yREP 6 | S A Birks — 15% R212 W31 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 57 | 27 (4) | 28 (2) | 26 (3) | 30 (5) | 37 (4) | 37 (4) | 49 (2) | 45 (4) | 32 (5) | 60 (1) | 41 | 33 | 11 | 11 | 33 | 27 | 3 | 11/8JF | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Uncle Josephd 2yREP 4 | S Watson — 29% R417 W122 P285 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 18 (5) | 23 (5) | 25 (5) | 14 (5) | 35 (2) | 36 (2) | 33 (3) | 36 (2) | 33 (3) | 29 (4) | 27 | 25 | 43 | 18 | 26 | 27 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
Has the best speed rating in this D3 field at 57 and draws in the statistically best box — trap 1 produces 27% of winners at D3 here from 211 runs, the top structural position and a genuine edge at a sprint distance where position from the break is everything. Recent form of 28, 20, 20, 25, 41, 41 shows some volatility and the trajectory has dipped from earlier peaks of 41, but the speed rating suggests raw capability that the recent form figures do not fully capture. Running at D3 and D2 grade validates the class level. The combination of speed rank 1 and best structural draw is the strongest stacking signal in this race, and in a weak D3 sprint those two factors are enough to make her the pick despite the inconsistent recent form.
Most reliable form in the field with a good draw. Danger to the pick if the speed fails to materialise from trap 1.
One run only but second-best speed rating. Decent draw. Danger on structural and speed grounds despite limited evidence.
D4 form level in a D3 field. Lowest-rated runner in the race. Very difficult to win at this grade.
Previous B2 form doesn't translate to D3 advantage based on recent runs. Worst structural draw limits prospects.
Recent form declining sharply. Cannot make case for winning based on current trajectory.
T1 is the best draw at D3 275m at 27% from 211 runs. Speed rank 1 wins 29.4% from 541 runs — strongest predictor. T5 weakest at 16.5%.
T1:27.0%(211) T2:23.4%(278) T3:19.8%(319) T4:22.5%(302) T5:16.5%(249) T6:19.5%(298)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (275m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 220m | 275m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tommys Dolly | — | 0.634 | — |
| 2 | Spa Hill | 0.648 | 0.640 | 0.650 |
| 4 | Burnpark Bradley | — | 0.633 | — |
| 5 | Ballymac Tingle | — | 0.637 | 0.631 |
| 6 | Uncle Joseph | — | 0.641 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.