| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Glens Lucky Dipd 4yREP 27 | D Calvert — 17% R576 W96 P336 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 29 (1) | 21 (4) | 17 (6) | 31 (1) | 19 (5) | 21 (4) | 18 (5) | 27 (2) | 22 (4) | 26 (2) | 25 | 27 | 40 | 39 | 23 | 23 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Spa Hilld 2yN/R 4 | L B Pruhs — 16% R134 W21 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | - | 27 (4) | 28 (3) | 29 (3) | 24 (5) | 22 (5) | 29 (2) | 9 (1) | 71 (6) | 27 (3) | - | 21 | 20 | 18 | 13 | 28 | 27 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Broken Missesb 3y 24 | S A Birks — 15% R212 W31 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | - | 11 (5) | 20 (5) | 17 (5) | 26 (3) | 29 (2) | 23 (4) | 18 (5) | 18 (5) | 18 (5) | 18 (5) | 11 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Nellys Fairyb 3yREP 15 | D Calvert — 17% R576 W96 P336 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 21 (3) | 20 (5) | 25 (3) | 29 (2) | 20 (5) | 24 (3) | 21 (4) | 26 (2) | 26 (2) | 26 (2) | 35 | 34 | 17 | 16 | 23 | 23 | 4 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Savana Hybridb 4yREP 22 | L B Pruhs — 16% R134 W21 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 24 (5) | 29 (3) | 19 (1) | 20 (3) | 30 (4) | 45 (1) | 61 (3) | 26 (1) | 28 (4) | - | 24 | 18 | 25 | 23 | 29 | 25 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Railteen Sarahb 4yREP 15 | C A Williams — 14% R380 W54 P180 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 22 (3) | 23 (2) | 21 (5) | 30 (1) | 22 (4) | 28 (2) | 24 (2) | 23 (3) | 26 (6) | - | 39 | 35 | 38 | 31 | 24 | 28 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
The speed standout in this field by a significant margin — speed rating of 64 against a field where the next best is 50, representing a dominant raw pace advantage. Stepping down from D3 to D4 adds further class credibility. A Fader with strong early pace who should jump out of trap 2 quickly. The complication is significant: trap 2 is the historically weakest draw at D4 grade here, producing just 15% of winners from 160 runs — essentially one in seven. Ordinarily speed rank 1 from the wrong draw would still be competitive, but at 15% the structural penalty is one of the most severe in this dataset. The speed advantage is real but the data warns strongly against trap 2 at this grade.
Recent D4 winner but below-average draw. Danger based on winning momentum.
Best structural draw at D4 grade with consistent class credentials. Pick is structural rather than form-based. Tentative given Speed rank 1 is in the field from trap 2 but the T2 penalty at this grade is the overriding concern.
Good structural draw undermined by the weakest form in the race. Cannot make a winning case on current evidence.
Consistent D4 operator with a decent draw but form level not strong enough to beat the speed leaders.
Decent recent form average but below-average draw limits the structural case. Each-way consideration at best.
T6 dominates at D4 grade at 29.7% from 118 runs. T3 also strong at 25.9%. T2 is historically the worst draw at 15% — Speed rank 1 wins 28.6% overall but structural penalty from T2 significantly reduces this.
T1:18.6%(167) T2:15.0%(160) T3:25.9%(143) T4:23.6%(161) T5:18.1%(171) T6:29.7%(118)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (275m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 275m | 450m | 483m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glens Lucky Dip | — | 0.648 | — | — |
| 3 | Broken Misses | — | 0.656 | — | — |
| 4 | Nellys Fairy | — | 0.649 | — | — |
| 5 | Savana Hybrid | 0.626 | 0.654 | 0.626 | — |
| 6 | Railteen Sarah | — | 0.648 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.