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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballygraigue Avab 1y 4 | D D Porter — 17% R521 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 22 (5) | 31 (5) | 20 (3) | 28 (6) | 32 (3) | 29 (1) | - | - | - | - | 59 | 51 | - | 51 | 29 | 38 | 1 | 5/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Greencroft Blazeb 2y 6 | S J Rayner — 18% R179 W33 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 24 (4) | 29 (2) | 27 (4) | 19 (6) | 28 (3) | 30 (3) | 27 (4) | 33 (2) | 36 (1) | 31 (2) | 62 | 41 | 45 | 45 | 31 | 37 | 2 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Greencroft Ricod 2y 15 | S J Rayner — 18% R179 W33 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 28 (2) | 24 (3) | 20 (5) | 26 (3) | 28 (3) | 32 (1) | 17 (6) | 24 (4) | 32 (2) | 21 (6) | 45 | 39 | 35 | 39 | 26 | 31 | 4 | 12/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Loher Magb 2y 29 | N J Deas — 17% R447 W76 P245 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 48 (3) | 48 (2) | 30 (6) | 48 (6) | 30 (2) | 30 (2) | 33 (1) | - | - | - | 32 | 30 | - | 30 | - | 11 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Cragbrien Herod 2yN/R 15 | D D Porter — 17% R521 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 30 (4) | 31 (4) | 24 (6) | 36 (1) | 27 (2) | 32 (1) | 24 (2) | 24 (4) | 26 (4) | 25 (4) | 6 | 8 | - | 8 | 25 | 19 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Salacres Herbertd 4y 15 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 20 (5) | 32 (6) | 22 (1) | 23 (5) | 22 (5) | 27 (4) | 21 (6) | 31 (2) | - | - | 28 | 26 | 34 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 3 | 11/4 | |
Drawn on the rail with the strongest structural position (trap 1 wins 23.3% from 309 runs at D3 270m) and suitability data to match. Recent form is solid and improving: 28, 31, 29 shows consistency with a positive trajectory. Trainer Porter (28%) is one of the strongest yards. Speed and bend ratings are absent—indicating she may not be the fastest—but trap position and improving form form a compelling case. At 270m, where trap 1 has an inbuilt advantage on turning, Ava should be ideally positioned to take advantage.
Dangerous early but fader profile at sprint distance limits conviction. Threat if Ava falters.
Dead trap with poor trap suitability and form that doesn't overcome the structural disadvantage. Likely opposition.
Neutral trap, moderate pace, consistent but unexciting form. Competitive without being dangerous.
Weak trap, alarming suitability scores across the board, no form advantage. No winning case.
Neutral trap, limited form history, stepping up in grade. Question mark rather than threat.
Normal separation with 5.38 percentage points between R1 and R3 win rates—ratings have meaningful predictive power. T1 is structurally dominant at 23.3% from 309 runs. Trap 6 is dead at 12.93%, a severe structural disadvantage. At 270m, speed and early pace matter heavily; closers face a difficult task.
T1: 23.3% (309 runs), T2: 23.04% (408 runs), T3: 20.71% (367 runs), T4: 20.29% (414 runs), T5: 17.24%, T6: 12.93% (232 runs)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.