| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Kenzied 3yN/R 4 | P B Philpott — 15% R143 W22 P80 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 47 | 56 (1) | 42 (3) | 38 (3) | 44 (3) | 43 (3) | 41 (2) | 22 (3) | 23 (2) | 29 (4) | 37 (3) | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 | 30 | 33 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Greencroft Ritab 2y 17 | S J Rayner — 18% R182 W33 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 59 | 30 (6) | 28 (4) | 33 (6) | 47 (2) | 40 (4) | 36 (4) | 38 (4) | 49 (2) | 42 (4) | 38 (3) | 21 | 32 | 11 | 19 | 41 | 35 | 2 | 11/10F | |
| 3 | ▶ So Its Sueb 2y 26 | D D Porter — 17% R527 W90 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 62 | 22 (6) | 32 (5) | 35 (5) | 44 (4) | 36 (5) | 51 (3) | 34 (5) | 54 (3) | 49 (5) | 52 (5) | 17 | 20 | 28 | 20 | 45 | 36 | 1 | 6/5 | |
| 4 | ▶ Hiya Salahd 3y 4 | D Jeans — 13% R246 W31 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 49 | 44 (2) | 27 (6) | 44 (3) | 36 (4) | 43 (2) | 46 (2) | 27 (6) | 43 (2) | 39 (2) | 45 (2) | 39 | 17 | 27 | 17 | 38 | 33 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Magical Cassieb 3y 5 | D Jeans — 13% R246 W31 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 47 | 33 (5) | 44 (3) | 28 (6) | 24 (6) | 37 (4) | 56 (1) | 32 (5) | 24 (6) | 28 (6) | 36 (5) | 16 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 32 | 27 | 4 | 25/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Cornamaddy Furyd 4y 45 | D D Porter — 17% R527 W90 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 27 | 72 (5) | 54 (4) | 39 (6) | 58 (4) | 65 (5) | 35 (3) | 39 (5) | 40 (4) | 32 (3) | - | 4 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 45 | 33 | 5 | 6/1 | |
The predicted winner with credible supporting form. Recent effort was a third-place finish from trap 3 over 500m A7 (the form 13, 44, 36, 51, 34 shows inconsistency but moments of sharpness). Speed is competitive at 61, bend rating solid at 62, and she profiles as a closer (52 early pace, 55 closing speed) who can win if the early pace sets up correctly. Trap 3 is second-dominant at 21.62% from 37 runs—not as strong as trap 6 but respectable. Trainer Porter (28%) is one of the strongest yards. In a low-separation race, this combination of trap position, pace profile, and yard support merits the pick, though conviction is moderate.
Dangerous early with good speed but fader profile limits staying ability. Threat if the race develops slowly.
Weakest pace rating and neutral trap position. Likely to fade in a race won up front.
Below-average trap, weak track suitability, patchy recent form. No winning case.
Dead trap, closer profile from behind, weak form. Unlikely to feature.
Best trap but closer profile from outside draw undermines the advantage. Form doesn't compensate.
Low-separation race at A8 grade (3.26pp between R1 and R3) indicates ratings have minimal predictive power. Trap 6 is dominant at 26.47% from 34 runs, but trap 3 is also strong at 21.62% from 37 runs. In low-separation races, pace profile and individual suitability matter more than composite ratings. Confidence should reflect the competitive nature of this field.
T1: 18.4% (39 runs), T2: 17.65% (34 runs), T3: 21.62% (37 runs), T4: 18.31% (33 runs), T5: 16.67% (30 runs), T6: 26.47% (34 runs)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballymac Kenzie | 51 | 45 | All-Rounder |
2Greencroft Rita | 57 | 17 | Fader |
3So Its Sue | 52 | 55 | Closer |
4Hiya Salah | 49 | 32 | All-Rounder |
5Magical Cassie | 45 | 60 | Closer |
6Cornamaddy Fury | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.