Edmund Yates Stag Do Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swift Orield 1yREP 9 | E Y Bell — 21% R525 W111 P287 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 49 | 47 (1) | 42 (2) | 45 (1) | 47 (1) | 42 (2) | 26 (5) | 40 (2) | 42 (1) | 72 (2) | 56 (3) | 66 | 66 | 59 | 65 | 45 | 50 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tullymurry Shineb 3yREP 5 | D Blackbird — 17% R1119 W187 P610 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 47 | 45 (2) | 31 (3) | 78 (3) | 59 (5) | 36 (3) | 80 (3) | 53 (4) | 58 (5) | 20 (3) | 47 (1) | 37 | 28 | 26 | 18 | 51 | 45 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballymac Debossd 3yREP 18 | C Jackson — 21% R98 W21 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 75 | 100 (1) | 74 (4) | 50 (4) | 46 (2) | 65 (1) | 95 (1) | 52 (5) | 88 (1) | 96 (6) | - | 34 | 54 | - | 30 | 74 | 49 | 4 | 7/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Crafty Regalod 2yREP 6 | C Jackson — 21% R98 W21 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 43 | 70 (5) | 35 (4) | 46 (1) | 43 (6) | 89 (1) | 28 (4) | 53 (6) | 96 (1) | 50 (6) | 71 (2) | 42 | 49 | 10 | 20 | 56 | 42 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Play On Wordsd 2yREP 18 | P Miller — 18% R523 W94 P278 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 100 (1) | 85 (2) | 67 (5) | 80 (2) | 100 (1) | 32 (4) | 42 (1) | 37 (2) | 25 (6) | 33 (2) | 22 | 54 | 16 | 54 | 71 | 60 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kingdom Kidd 4y 18 | E Y Bell — 21% R525 W111 P287 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | - | 65 (5) | 44 (1) | 46 (1) | 35 (3) | 39 (2) | 43 (6) | 34 (4) | 37 (3) | 34 (3) | 46 (1) | 38 | 38 | 45 | 41 | 45 | 44 | 6 | 22/1 | - | |
Won last time out with a perfect rating of 100 at open grade 261 metres — that is the ceiling for any performance, and it signals a dog right at the top of their game at this trip. The first-bend rating is the best in the field by a clear margin, which is the single most important physical attribute at a sprint distance where the race is typically decided in the first few seconds. Trap 3 is the dominant box at Sunderland 261 metres — winning 25.4% at D1 grade from 63 runs — and this dog is drawn right there. Some earlier career runs at longer distances (450 and 480 metres) show a dog who has found his best form at sprints. The performance average of 74 leads the field. Trainer Jackson's win rate is modest, but the form and the draw are doing the talking here. A Fader profile means he will be electric early and hold that position — at 261 metres, there is rarely enough time for anyone to catch a dog who leads through the first bend.
Two recent 100-rated wins and top speed rating. Very close to the selection — the pick is based on trap and first-bend advantage. Main danger and could easily turn the tables.
Ultra-reliable at this level but outclassed on ratings by two recently in-form rivals. Good place chance but unlikely to win today.
Worst draw, Closer profile at a sprint, and inconsistent form at this trip. Very hard to support today.
Too inconsistent and Closer profile at a sprint. Needs a perfect run that rarely materialises at 261 metres.
Course-and-distance winner but outrated by the top contenders today. Consistent but not competitive at this level of performance.
400 runs at D1 Sunderland 261m. Composite rank 1 wins only 17.39% — below the field average. Speed is the primary signal here. Trap 3 dominates at 25.4% from 63 runs at this specific grade. Composite rank 1 in trap 1 historically produces 0 wins — structural elimination for that combination.
T1:14.75% T2:11.32% T3:25.4% T4:13.51% T5:20.83% T6:18.18%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 261m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (261m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 270m | 290m | 305m | 435m | 450m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swift Oriel | 0.613 | — | — | — | — | 0.630 | — |
| 2 | Tullymurry Shine | 0.613 | — | 0.595 | 0.612 | — | 0.625 | — |
| 3 | Ballymac Deboss | 0.606 | — | 0.598 | — | 0.597 | 0.611 | 0.584 |
| 4 | Crafty Regalo | 0.615 | — | — | — | 0.596 | 0.620 | — |
| 5 | Play On Words | 0.609 | 0.602 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Kingdom Kid | 0.616 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.