The fastest dog in the field on recent times and the one with the sharpest early pace and first-bend rating — in a race with limited overall quality, those advantages are significant. Won her last run at open grade 500 metres with a solid rating of 86, and trainer Locke has one of the best records in the game. She is a Fader, so she will lead early and the question becomes whether she can hold on, but over 450 metres in a race where the opposition is green and limited, she may simply be too quick to catch. The honest structural concern is trap 6 — at OR2 grade Sunderland 450m, the draw has zero wins from 11 runs in the condition data, and the wide draw will cost her ground at the first bend. That caveat drops this from a confident pick to a tentative one. She is still the highest-quality runner here on speed and form, and trainer intent with Locke placing here is worth respecting.