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ARC Winner Of One 480m Trophy
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Rosie Jackellb 2y 35 | M T Munslow — 24% R143 W34 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | 36 | 64 | 87 (1) | 79 (4) | 79 (2) | 55 (5) | 81 (2) | 76 (2) | 86 (1) | 65 (2) | 74 (2) | 82 (2) | 49 | 26 | - | 36 | 76 | 41 | 2 | 6/4JF | ||
| 2 | ▶ Deelish Denzeld 2y 35 | J Gray — 13% R225 W30 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 53 | 78 (3) | 41 (4) | 60 (3) | 77 (2) | 68 (4) | 43 (4) | 74 (3) | 93 (1) | 78 (2) | 62 (5) | 32 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 64 | 46 | 5 | 6/4JF | ||
| 3 | ▶ Murrow Catatumbob 3y 37 | R Fitch — 26% R61 W16 P41 Trainer form — last 3 months | 91 | 0 | 89 (1) | 88 (1) | 87 (2) | 89 (1) | 83 (2) | 100 (1) | 67 (3) | 75 (3) | 83 (3) | 93 (2) | 53 | - | 10 | - | 86 | 70 | 1 | 6/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Ballinabola Monab 2yN/R 44 | F Macklin — 21% R200 W42 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | 18 | 0 | 64 (6) | 70 (2) | 66 (5) | 32 (5) | 38 (3) | 42 (1) | 73 (4) | 72 (5) | 58 (4) | - | 11 | 23 | - | - | 58 | 26 | - | - | ||
| 5 | ▶ Some Hikerd 4y 33 | E O Driver — 21% R317 W66 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | 69 | 100 | 74 (2) | 35 (5) | 83 (3) | 66 (3) | 64 (5) | 75 (2) | 59 (4) | 78 (2) | 66 (4) | 63 (4) | 23 | - | - | - | 64 | 35 | 3 | 10/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Droopys Melonb 2y 35 | M J Russell — 14% R176 W25 P90 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 47 | 52 (6) | 56 (5) | 61 (3) | 88 (1) | 69 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | 14 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 67 | 40 | 4 | 9/2 | ||
The standout selection of tonight's Nottingham card, and a rare case where form dominance and structural position align simultaneously. His composite of 70 leads this Open field by 24 points over the nearest rival, and his performance rating of 86 leads by 10 points — a 14-point margin that is rarely seen in open-grade competition. He holds the top speed rating (91), the best first-bend rating, and the best early pace rating in this field — every speed-related metric points to him. His three most recent runs are three consecutive A2 wins at 462 metres, recording times of 28.09, 27.95, and 27.99 seconds — consistent, fast, and improving. Tonight's 480m trip is virtually identical to his recent winning distance. From trap three, the grade-specific ML data confirms he occupies the structural second-best position at 480m OR (26.67% winners from 15 starts). Composite Rank 1 wins 25% at this grade and distance — the strongest composite rank signal on the Nottingham card tonight — and Murrow holds that rank. Form dominance, structural position, and grade-specific signal all point to the same conclusion.
Structural best trap and second-best performance — the danger, though faces a significant quality gap to Murrow Catatumbo.
Weak structural draw and mid-field form — no compelling route to challenging the principals.
Below-average draw and the weakest composite in this race — limited competitive prospects.
5.56% trap win rate at 480m OR is effectively a structural elimination — near-impossible to recommend.
Modest draw and form — can contribute but lacks the quality to challenge the dominant pick.
T1 (28.6%) and T3 (26.7%) are the dominant structural traps at 480m OR. T5 is near-eliminated at 5.6%. Composite Rank 1 wins 25% — the strongest CR signal on the card. Murrow Catatumbo holds CR1, SR1 (best speed), and PR1 (best performance) simultaneously — a rare triple-signal alignment.
T1:28.6% T2:11.8% T3:26.7% T4:12.5% T5:5.6% T6:13.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Rosie Jackell | 87 | 0 | Fader |
2Deelish Denzel | 43 | 71 | Closer |
3Murrow Catatumbo | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Ballinabola Mona | 3 | 100 | Closer |
5Some Hiker | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Droopys Melon | 57 | 29 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.