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ARC Standard Trophy - Division 1
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Honour Bachb 3y 16 | A S Mcpherson — 15% R274 W40 P125 Trainer form — last 3 months | 26 | 25 | 91 (1) | 94 (1) | 94 (1) | 74 (3) | 70 (4) | 78 (2) | 95 (1) | 79 (2) | 73 (3) | 92 (1) | 53 | 42 | 18 | 61 | 85 | 48 | 3 | 10/3 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Skyfall Minib 2y 25 | E O Driver — 21% R317 W66 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 58 | 71 (5) | 84 (3) | 73 (3) | 63 (1) | 76 (2) | 66 (2) | 94 (1) | 66 (4) | 93 (1) | 84 (2) | 47 | 49 | 37 | 57 | 75 | 54 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Hasselbombd 2y 23 | K L Windebank — 17% R557 W97 P314 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 83 | 72 (2) | 64 (3) | 90 (1) | 67 (3) | 64 (3) | 81 (2) | 88 (1) | 65 (3) | - | - | 16 | 47 | 30 | 23 | 76 | 51 | 1 | 5/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Swift Kipperb 2y 33 | M T Munslow — 24% R143 W34 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 35 | 91 (1) | 67 (4) | 88 (1) | 91 (1) | 96 (1) | 56 (3) | 87 (1) | 95 (1) | 76 (3) | 75 (3) | 43 | 44 | 10 | 46 | 83 | 48 | 4 | 6/5F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Aghaburren Bend 2yN/R 16 | B Denby — 20% R252 W51 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 33 | 82 (2) | 97 (1) | 69 (4) | 82 (2) | 73 (2) | 93 (1) | 97 (1) | 81 (3) | 85 (2) | 79 (3) | 1 | 43 | 54 | 56 | 84 | 58 | - | - | ||
| 6 | ▶ Da Mighty Mand 3y 16 | R Lambe — 21% R120 W25 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | 98 | 100 | 78 (3) | 93 (1) | 61 (4) | 39 (5) | 54 (6) | 65 (4) | 80 (3) | 86 (2) | 59 (3) | - | 31 | - | 27 | - | 69 | 64 | 2 | 7/2 | ||
The pick of the race tonight. Won the OR 480m here last Monday (P91, 28.42) — a sharp performance — and has been running at OR level consistently, recording P88, P91 and P96 across recent starts. Unlike the favourite Honour Bach who steps up from A1 tonight, Swift Kipper has already proved she belongs at OR grade and can win here. From trap 4 — the structural second-best draw at OR 500m with 22.7% winners from 44 runs — she will press from early and look to secure a position at the first bend before the hold-up types challenge in the home straight. The extra 20 metres from 480m to 500m is the slight unknown, but the raw ability and proven OR form make her the most compelling selection.
Machine-like recent form from best structural draw — the main threat to the pick if A1 form holds at OR level.
Below-average draw, mixed OR form — fourth best in the race at best.
In winning form but trapped in the structural worst inside draw at OR 500m — the fading profile at the longer trip adds to the concern.
Top-class performer in the wrong trap — trap 5 at OR 500m here has a 2.9% win rate, making this a near-impossible ask regardless of ability.
Spectacularly fast but trap 6 has produced zero OR 500m winners at Nottingham — the speed cannot overcome this structural barrier.
T5 wins just 2.9% from 35 runs and T6 has ZERO wins from 30 runs at OR 500m Nottingham. T1 (24.5%) and T4 (22.7%) are the structural draws to be in. Composite R1 wins 21.1% — the most reliable single signal here.
T1:24.5% T2:17.4% T3:13.6% T4:22.7% T5:2.9% T6:0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Honour Bach | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Skyfall Mini | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Hasselbomb | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Swift Kipper | 93 | 0 | Fader |
5Aghaburren Ben | 7 | 100 | Closer |
6Da Mighty Man | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.