Head and shoulders the classiest dog in this race. Five runs at A1 level at Central Park over 491 metres, never once finishing outside the first three, and winning in impressive style. Her form figures barely dip below 73 in any run — that kind of consistency at the top grade is rare. Every single run comment features the word "ran on," which is the clearest possible signal that the step up to 664 metres tonight should suit. The pace profile is sharp — maximum early pace and the best first-bend rating in the field — so she will not be waiting for things to happen. The significant worry is trap 2, which is catastrophic at this distance and grade, winning just 9% of the time from 54 runs. That structural disadvantage alone is enough to cost a length or two through the opening bend, and it prevents what would otherwise be a strong-confidence pick from being anything more than tentative. But the class gap over these rivals is enormous.