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ARC Novice Stayers Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mydras Supremeb 2y 34 | J J Luckhurst — 15% R267 W41 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 40 | 97 (1) | 50 (6) | 58 (4) | 51 (6) | 82 (1) | 68 (2) | 42 (2) | 33 (4) | 55 (5) | 50 (4) | 40 | 26 | 10 | 30 | 64 | 44 | 2 | 10/3 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Grouchos Boggerb 2y 35 | R M Emery — 11% R119 W13 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 15 | 68 (3) | 63 (3) | 46 (6) | 78 (4) | 60 (6) | 54 (5) | 67 (4) | 74 (4) | 61 (5) | 69 (5) | 9 | - | - | - | 63 | 30 | 6 | 33/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Ghost Of Winterb 1y 37 | L E Morrison — 23% R189 W43 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | 67 | 90 | 98 (1) | 62 (3) | 65 (4) | 83 (1) | 53 (5) | 66 (3) | 64 (4) | 47 (6) | 63 (4) | 78 (1) | 18 | 33 | 30 | 30 | 71 | 41 | 1 | 4/7F | ||
| 4 | ▶ Saleen Swanb 1y 35 | F Macklin — 21% R200 W42 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 94 | 78 (2) | 71 (2) | 64 (2) | 83 (1) | 55 (3) | 77 (1) | 17 (4) | 57 (4) | 77 (1) | 65 (4) | 2 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 67 | 32 | 3 | 7/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Coppice Geminib 2y 37 | L E Morrison — 23% R189 W43 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 60 | 83 (2) | 72 (2) | 79 (1) | 63 (4) | 75 (1) | 46 (5) | 64 (2) | 60 (2) | 55 (3) | 65 (3) | 24 | 37 | 18 | 16 | 69 | 41 | 4 | 12/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Charityb 2y 16 | R M Emery — 11% R119 W13 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 31 | 61 (5) | 78 (3) | 77 (3) | 73 (4) | 54 (6) | 58 (6) | 63 (4) | 77 (4) | 83 (3) | 63 (6) | 12 | - | - | - | 71 | 41 | 5 | 16/1 | ||
The class act in this field and it is not particularly close. Has been competing at A1 and A2 level — winning at A2 — before dropping to OR3, which represents a massive class plunge. Won this exact assignment last time with P98, the highest last-race performance in the field, and brings a first-bend rating of 90 that virtually guarantees the lead through the first corner. The Fader profile over 664m is the only question mark, but his last-time-out victory at this trip proves he can sustain the pace. The T3 draw wins only 12.5% in the ML data but the bend speed should negate any positional disadvantage.
Huge trap advantage and a C&D win last time, but the bend speed suggests he could be outpaced to the first corner.
Wrong draw, wrong profile — zero suitability and a terrible bend speed leave him with no route into this race.
Perennial runner-up who gets into position but cannot find the finishing speed to win. Another place looks the ceiling.
Fair claims for a place from the second-best box but outclassed by Ghost Of Winter for the lead.
Zero-win trap in the ML data combined with zero suitability — impossible to fancy regardless of ability.
Extremely small sample of 81 runs means trap bias data must be treated with caution, but the T1 dominance is striking. The extra distance suits front-runners who can hold the rail.
T1 massively dominant (38.46%), T5 second (16.67%), T6 zero wins (0%)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 664m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Mydras Supreme | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Grouchos Bogger | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Ghost Of Winter | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Saleen Swan | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Coppice Gemini | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Charity | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.