Wins this race on multiple counts: he won last time out at the harder A4 grade with a P80 performance at Yarmouth 462 metres and now drops back to A3, which is a significant advantage. A dog that wins at A4 and returns to A3 is typically the standout runner unless the form is somehow misleading, and the P80 here is not a fluke — it follows P68 and P64 suggesting a dog on an upward trajectory. His speed rating of 56 is the best in this field and composite of 46 ranks third, behind only Savana Pepsi and Fastnet Freeze. Crucially, R Fitch trains him at a 26% win rate at Yarmouth — one of the highest trainer ratings in this race. The T2 draw is adequate at 20%. He may face pressure from Savana Pepsi early but the recent winning confidence and the grade drop are his strongest arguments.