The pick here on the basis of a clean recent record at A3 grade and a grade drop to A4 today. Running in P50 and P59 at A3 — the grade above — demonstrates competence at a higher level, and in A4 company those figures are competitive enough to win. Speed rating of 59 is the best in the field, which is a significant edge at Yarmouth where the long run-in rewards sustained pace. Course suitability of 42 shows reasonable track knowledge. Trainer K L Windebank operates at 14% here — the weakest trainer among the front runners — but the form credentials are sound. A P70 five runs ago demonstrates a higher ceiling that she has not replicated in recent starts but the consistency of her A3 efforts shows she has not lost her ability. The grade drop is the decisive factor.